Exam 13: Decision Making

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When using decision tree analysis

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Luvmatics plans to produce a new product. Three different models are planned: the Regular, Large, and Jumbo. The fixed costs depend on which of two locations are used; in San Francisco the fixed costs would be $2.5 million per year, but in Tuttle the fixed costs would be $1.2 million. Sale prices and variable costs for the three models are shown in the table. Table A 1 Model Regular Large Jumbo Variable Cost \ 5 /unit \ 7 /unit \ 10/ unit Sale Price \ 25/ unit \ 41 /unit \ 68/ unit -Use the information in Table A.1.What is the difference in break-even points for the Large model between Tuttle and San Francisco?

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The ________ is the volume at which total revenues equal total costs.

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In choosing between three new jobs, Joe MBA considers the potential payoffs over the next three years. The following table contains the payoffs, given the speed of promotion in each of the organizations. The probability of fast promotion is 0.6, and the probability of slow promotion is 0.4. Alternative Slow Promotion Fast Promotion A High-flying consultant (\ 180,000) \ 600,000 B. Utility analyst \ 200,000 \ 400,000 C. Research assistant \ 250,000 \ 260,000 -Use the information in Table A.3 and the minimax regret decision rule.The maximum regret is

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The decision rule ________ is also referred to as the pessimist's criterion.

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In choosing between three new jobs, Joe MBA considers the potential payoffs over the next three years. The following table contains the payoffs, given the speed of promotion in each of the organizations. The probability of fast promotion is 0.6, and the probability of slow promotion is 0.4. Alternative Slow Promotion Fast Promotion A High-flying consultant (\ 180,000) \ 600,000 B. Utility analyst \ 200,000 \ 400,000 C. Research assistant \ 250,000 \ 260,000 -Use the information in Table A.3 and the expected-value rule.Which statement is TRUE?

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A manufacturing firm is considering an entirely new product that will require additional capital equipment,training,and an addition to their existing facility that will cost $50,000 per year.The projected retail price is $45 per unit,and the variable cost of production is $12.50.What is the break-even for this product? Solve using both the graphical and algebraic approaches.

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A single factory produces two different products during each half of the year with equivalent fixed cost; from January through June they produce Product A and from July through December they produce Product B.Product A costs twice as much to produce and is sold at twice the price of Product B.Derive an expression relating the break-even quantity of Product A to that of Product B.

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The decision rule in decision making under uncertainty that would be best for the manager who has high expectations would be

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A payoff table shows the amount for each alternative if each possible event occurs.

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Which condition would result in invalidating an application of break-even analysis?

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The break-even point is the volume at which the total revenues equal total cost.

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The variable cost is the portion of total cost that remains constant regardless of changes in levels of production.

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Commodore is debating whether to produce the printed circuit boards for a new line of video cameras or outsource their production to a company that specializes in this operation.Strictly from a cost standpoint,production of the circuit boards would definitely be outsourced if

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In choosing between three new jobs, Joe MBA considers the potential payoffs over the next three years. The following table contains the payoffs, given the speed of promotion in each of the organizations. The probability of fast promotion is 0.6, and the probability of slow promotion is 0.4. Alternative Slow Promotion Fast Promotion A High-flying consultant (\ 180,000) \ 600,000 B. Utility analyst \ 200,000 \ 400,000 C. Research assistant \ 250,000 \ 260,000 -Use the information in Table A.3.Which alternative is best,given the matrix payoff?

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By definition,the maximax and maximin criteria cannot result in the selection of a common alternative in decision making under uncertainty.

(True/False)
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A "Little Sis" restaurant has been opened as a prototype to test the concept of a smaller facility with a limited menu.Experience during the first two years was as follows: Year Annual volume (customer visits) Total Cost (\ ) (fixed plus variable cost) Year 1 40,000 600,000 Year 2 60,000 700,000 The average sale is $10 per customer.Use the following partially completed graph to determine the break-even quantity graphically.Then refine your solution by solving it algebraically.(Show your work for credit.)  A Little Sis restaurant has been opened as a prototype to test the concept of a smaller facility with a limited menu.Experience during the first two years was as follows:  \begin{array} { | c | c | c | }  \hline \text { Year } & \begin{array} { c }  \text { Annual volume } \\ \text { (customer visits) } \end{array} & \begin{array} { c }  \text { Total Cost } ( \$ ) \\ \text { (fixed plus variable cost) } \end{array} \\ \hline \text { Year 1 } & 40,000 & 600,000 \\ \text { Year 2 } & 60,000 & 700,000 \\ \hline \end{array}  The average sale is $10 per customer.Use the following partially completed graph to determine the break-even quantity graphically.Then refine your solution by solving it algebraically.(Show your work for credit.)

(Multiple Choice)
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A new product will sell in the market for $12.It costs $7 (unit variable cost)to manufacture on a new lathe machine.If the break-even quantity is 10,000 units,what is the annual fixed cost involved in acquiring the machine and in paying other fixed costs?

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Fixed cost is the portion of the total cost that remains constant regardless of changes in levels of output.

(True/False)
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Mantel Incorporated began producing its new line of dolls at its Connecticut plant in December of year 0.In year 1,it produced 30,000 dolls at a total cost of $385,000.In year 2,its production increased to 80,000 dolls at a total cost of $885,000.Assuming the cost structure was the same for both years,what must be the variable cost (c)and the fixed cost (F)per doll?

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