Exam 14: Introduction to Multiple

SCENARIO 14-19 The marketing manager for a nationally franchised lawn service company would like to study the characteristics that differentiate home owners who do and do not have a lawn service. A random sample of 30 home owners located in a suburban area near a large city was selected; 11 did not have a lawn service (code 0) and 19 had a lawn service (code 1). Additional information available concerning these 30 home owners includes family income (Income, in thousands of dollars) and lawn size (Lawn Size, in thousands of square feet). The PHStat output is given below: Binary Logistic Regression Predictor Coefficients SE Coef Z p -Value Intercept -7.8562 3.8224 -2.0553 0.0398 Income 0.0304 0.0133 2.2897 0.0220 Lawn Size 1.2804 0.6971 1.8368 0.0662 Deviance 25.3089 -Referring to Scenario 14-19, which of the following is the correct expression for the estimated model? a) $Y = - 7.8562 + 0.0304$ Income+1.2804 LawnSize b) $\hat { Y } = - 7.8562 + 0.0304$ Income $+ 1.2804$ LawnSize c) $\ln$ (odds ratio) $= - 7.8562 + 0.0304$ Income $+ 1.2804$ LawnSize d) $\ln ($ estimated odds ratio $) = - 7.8562 + 0.0304$ Income $+ 1.2804$ LawnSize

SCENARIO 14-16 What are the factors that determine the acceleration time (in sec.) from 0 to 60 miles per hour of a car? Data on the following variables for 30 different vehicle models were collected: $Y$ (Accel Time): Acceleration time in sec. $X _ { I }$ (Engine Size): c.c. $X _ { 2 }$ (Sedan): 1 if the vehicle model is a sedan and 0 otherwise The regression results using acceleration time as the dependent variable and the remaining variables as the independent variables are presented below. Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.6096 R Square 0.3716 Adjusted R Square 0.3251 Standard Error 1.4629 Observations 30 ANOVA Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95\% Upper 95\% Intercept 7.1052 0.6574 10.8086 0.0000 5.7564 8.4540 Engine Size -0.0005 0.0001 -3.6477 0.0011 -0.0008 -0.0002 Sedan 0.7264 0.5564 1.3056 0.2027 -0.4152 1.8681 -Referring to Scenario 14-16, which of the following assumptions is most likely violated based on the normal probability plot?

SCENARIO 14-17 Given below are results from the regression analysis where the dependent variable is the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff (Unemploy) and the independent variables are the age of the worker (Age) and a dummy variable for management position (Manager: 1 = yes, 0 = no). The results of the regression analysis are given below: \ Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.6391 R Square 0.4085 Adjusted R Square 0.3765 Standard Error 18.8929 Observations 40 $\text { ANOVA }$ Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Intercept -0.2143 11.5796 -0.0185 0.9853 Age 1.4448 0.3160 4.5717 0.0000 Manager -22.5761 11.3488 -1.9893 0.0541 -Referring to Scenario 14-17, which of the following is the correct alternative hypothesis to determine whether there is a significant relationship between percentage of students passing the Proficiency test and the entire set of explanatory variables? e) $H _ { 1 }$ : All $\beta _ { j } \neq 0$ for $j = 0,1,2$ f) $H _ { 1 }$ : All $\beta _ { j } \neq 0$ for $j = 1,2$ g) $H _ { 1 }$ : At least one of $\beta _ { j } \neq 0$ for $j = 0,1,2$ h) $H _ { 1 } :$ At least one of $\beta _ { j } \neq 0$ for $j = 1,2$

SCENARIO 14-8 A financial analyst wanted to examine the relationship between salary (in $\$ 1,000$ ) and 2 variables: age $\left(X_{1}=\mathrm{Age}\right)$ and experience in the field $\left(X_{2}=\right.$ Exper). He took a sample of 20 employees and obtained the following Microsoft Excel output: Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.8535 R Square 0.7284 Adjusted R Square 0.6964 Standard Error 10.5630 Observations 20 $\text { ANOVA }$ Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95\% O5\% Intercept 1.5740 9.2723 0.1698 0.8672 -17.9888 21.1368 Age 1.3045 0.1956 6.6678 0.0000 0.8917 1.7173 Exper -0.1478 0.1944 -0.7604 0.4574 -0.5580 0.2624 Also the sum of squares due to the regression for the model that includes only Age is 5022.0654 while the sum of squares due to the regression for the model that includes only Exper is 125.9848. -Referring to Scenario 14-8, ____% of the variation in salary can be explained by the variation in age while holding experience constant.

SCENARIO 14-5 A microeconomist wants to determine how corporate sales are influenced by capital and wage spending by companies. She proceeds to randomly select 26 large corporations and record information in millions of dollars. The Microsoft Excel output below shows results of this multiple regression. -Referring to Scenario 14-5, what is the p-value for testing whether Wages have a negative impact on corporate sales?

SCENARIO 14-16 What are the factors that determine the acceleration time (in sec.) from 0 to 60 miles per hour of a car? Data on the following variables for 30 different vehicle models were collected: $Y$ (Accel Time): Acceleration time in sec. $X _ { I }$ (Engine Size): c.c. $X _ { 2 }$ (Sedan): 1 if the vehicle model is a sedan and 0 otherwise The regression results using acceleration time as the dependent variable and the remaining variables as the independent variables are presented below. Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.6096 R Square 0.3716 Adjusted R Square 0.3251 Standard Error 1.4629 Observations 30 ANOVA Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95\% Upper 95\% Intercept 7.1052 0.6574 10.8086 0.0000 5.7564 8.4540 Engine Size -0.0005 0.0001 -3.6477 0.0011 -0.0008 -0.0002 Sedan 0.7264 0.5564 1.3056 0.2027 -0.4152 1.8681 -Referring to Scenario 14-16, ________ of the variation in Accel Time can be explained by the dummy variable Sedan while controlling for the other independent variable.

The interpretation of the slope is different in a multiple linear regression model as compared to a simple linear regression model.

SCENARIO 14-18 A logistic regression model was estimated in order to predict the probability that a randomly chosen university or college would be a private university using information on mean total Scholastic Aptitude Test score (SAT) at the university or college and whether the TOEFL criterion is at least 90 (Toefl90 = 1 if yes, 0 otherwise.) The dependent variable, Y, is school type (Type = 1 if private and 0 otherwise). The PHStat output is given below: Binary Logistic Regression Predictor Coefficients SE Coef Z p -Value Intercept -3.9594 1.6741 -2.3650 0.0180 SAT 0.0028 0.0011 2.5459 0.0109 Toefl90:1 0.1928 0.5827 0.3309 0.7407 Deviance 101.9826 -Referring to Scenario 14-18, what are the degrees of freedom for the chi-square distribution when testing whether the model is a good-fitting model?

SCENARIO 14-10 You worked as an intern at We Always Win Car Insurance Company last summer. You notice that individual car insurance premiums depend very much on the age of the individual and the number of traffic tickets received by the individual. You performed a regression analysis in EXCEL and obtained the following partial information: Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.8546 R Square 0.7303 Adjusted R Square 0.6853 Standard Error 226.7502 Observations 15 $\text { ANOVA }$ Coefficients Standard Error tStat P-value Lower 99\% Upper 99\% Intercept 821.2617 161.9391 5.0714 0.0003 326.6124 1315.9111 Age -1.4061 2.5988 -0.5411 0.5984 -9.3444 6.5321 Tickets 243.4401 43.2470 5.6291 0.0001 111.3406 375.5396 -Referring to Scenario 14-10, the standard error of the estimate is _________.

SCENARIO 14-20-B You are the CEO of a dairy company. You are planning to expand milk production by purchasing additional cows, lands and hiring more workers. From the existing 50 farms owned by the company, you have collected data on total milk production (in liters), the number of milking cows, land size (in acres) and the number of laborers. The data are shown below and also available in the Excel file Scenario14-20-DataB.XLSX. MILK 84686 101876 103248 70508 76072 86615 87508 105195 120351 68658 You believe that the number of milking cows $\left( X _ { 1 } \right)$ , land size $\left( X _ { 2 } \right)$ and the number of laborers $\left( X _ { 3 } \right)$ are the best predictors for total milk production on any given farm. -Referring to Scenario 14-20-B, which of the following is a correct interpretation for the r- square?

SCENARIO 14-4 A real estate builder wishes to determine how house size (House) is influenced by family income (Income) and family size (Size). House size is measured in hundreds of square feet and income is measured in thousands of dollars. The builder randomly selected 50 families and ran the multiple regression. Partial Microsoft Excel output is provided below: -Referring to Scenario 14-4, when the builder used a simple linear regression model with house size (House) as the dependent variable and family size (Size) as the independent variable, he Obtained an $r ^ { 2 }$ value of 1.25%. What additional percentage of the total variation in house size has Been explained by including income in the multiple regression?

SCENARIO 14-17 Given below are results from the regression analysis where the dependent variable is the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff (Unemploy) and the independent variables are the age of the worker (Age) and a dummy variable for management position (Manager: 1 = yes, 0 = no). The results of the regression analysis are given below: \ Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.6391 R Square 0.4085 Adjusted R Square 0.3765 Standard Error 18.8929 Observations 40 $\text { ANOVA }$ Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Intercept -0.2143 11.5796 -0.0185 0.9853 Age 1.4448 0.3160 4.5717 0.0000 Manager -22.5761 11.3488 -1.9893 0.0541 -Referring to Scenario 14-17, the null hypothesis should be rejected at a 10% level of significance when testing whether there is a significant relationship between the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff and the entire set of explanatory variables.

SCENARIO 14-18 A logistic regression model was estimated in order to predict the probability that a randomly chosen university or college would be a private university using information on mean total Scholastic Aptitude Test score (SAT) at the university or college and whether the TOEFL criterion is at least 90 (Toefl90 = 1 if yes, 0 otherwise.) The dependent variable, Y, is school type (Type = 1 if private and 0 otherwise). The PHStat output is given below: Binary Logistic Regression Predictor Coefficients SE Coef Z p -Value Intercept -3.9594 1.6741 -2.3650 0.0180 SAT 0.0028 0.0011 2.5459 0.0109 Toefl90:1 0.1928 0.5827 0.3309 0.7407 Deviance 101.9826 -Referring to Scenario 14-18, what is the estimated probability that a school with a mean SAT score of 1100 and a TOEFL criterion that is not at least 90?

SCENARIO 14-8 A financial analyst wanted to examine the relationship between salary (in $\$ 1,000$ ) and 2 variables: age $\left(X_{1}=\mathrm{Age}\right)$ and experience in the field $\left(X_{2}=\right.$ Exper). He took a sample of 20 employees and obtained the following Microsoft Excel output: Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.8535 R Square 0.7284 Adjusted R Square 0.6964 Standard Error 10.5630 Observations 20 $\text { ANOVA }$ Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95\% O5\% Intercept 1.5740 9.2723 0.1698 0.8672 -17.9888 21.1368 Age 1.3045 0.1956 6.6678 0.0000 0.8917 1.7173 Exper -0.1478 0.1944 -0.7604 0.4574 -0.5580 0.2624 Also the sum of squares due to the regression for the model that includes only Age is 5022.0654 while the sum of squares due to the regression for the model that includes only Exper is 125.9848. -Referring to Scenario 14-8, the F test for the significance of the entire regression performed at a level of significance of 0.01 leads to a rejection of the null hypothesis.

SCENARIO 14-1 A manager of a product sales group believes the number of sales made by an employee $( Y )$ depends on how many years that employee has been with the company $\left( X _ { 1 } \right)$ and how he/she scored on a business aptitude test $\left( X _ { 2 } \right)$ . A random sample of 8 employees provides the following: -Referring to Scenario 14-1, for these data, what is the value for the regression constant, b0?

SCENARIO 14-9 You decide to predict gasoline prices in different cities and towns in the United States for your term project. Your dependent variable is price of gasoline per gallon and your explanatory variables are per capita income and the number of firms that manufacture automobile parts in and around the city. You collected data of 32 cities and obtained a regression sum of squares SSR= 122.8821. Your computed value of standard error of the estimate is 1.9549. -Referring to Scenario 14-9, if the variable that measures the number of firms that manufacture automobile parts in and around the city is removed from the multiple regression model, which of The following would be true? a) The adjusted $r ^ { 2 }$ will definitely increase. b) The adjusted $r ^ { 2 }$ cannot increase. c) The coefficient of multiple determination will not increase. d) The coefficient of multiple determination will definitely increase.

SCENARIO 14-15 The superintendent of a school district wanted to predict the percentage of students passing a sixth- grade proficiency test. She obtained the data on percentage of students passing the proficiency test (% Passing), mean teacher salary in thousands of dollars (Salaries), and instructional spending per pupil in thousands of dollars (Spending) of 47 schools in the state. Following is the multiple regression output with $Y = \%$ Passing as the dependent variable, $X _ { 1 } =$ Salaries and $X _ { 2 } =$ Spending: Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.4276 R Square 0.1828 Adjusted R Square 0.1457 Standard Error 5.7351 Observations 47 ANOVA Coefficients Standard Error t Stat \rho -value Lower 95\% Upper 95\% Intercept -72.9916 45.9106 -1.5899 0.1190 -165.5184 19.5352 Salary 2.7939 0.8974 3.1133 0.0032 0.9853 4.6025 Spending 0.3742 0.9782 0.3825 0.7039 -1.5972 2.3455 -Referring to Scenario 14-15, the alternative hypothesis $H _ { 1 } : \text { At least one of } \beta _ { j } \neq 0 \text { for } j = 1,2$ implies that percentage of students passing the proficiency test is related to both of the explanatory variables.

SCENARIO 14-15 The superintendent of a school district wanted to predict the percentage of students passing a sixth- grade proficiency test. She obtained the data on percentage of students passing the proficiency test (% Passing), mean teacher salary in thousands of dollars (Salaries), and instructional spending per pupil in thousands of dollars (Spending) of 47 schools in the state. Following is the multiple regression output with $Y = \%$ Passing as the dependent variable, $X _ { 1 } =$ Salaries and $X _ { 2 } =$ Spending: Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.4276 R Square 0.1828 Adjusted R Square 0.1457 Standard Error 5.7351 Observations 47 ANOVA Coefficients Standard Error t Stat \rho -value Lower 95\% Upper 95\% Intercept -72.9916 45.9106 -1.5899 0.1190 -165.5184 19.5352 Salary 2.7939 0.8974 3.1133 0.0032 0.9853 4.6025 Spending 0.3742 0.9782 0.3825 0.7039 -1.5972 2.3455 -Referring to Scenario 14-15, the null hypothesis $H _ { 0 } : \beta _ { 1 } = \beta _ { 2 } = 0$ implies that percentage of students passing the proficiency test is not affected by one of the explanatory variables.

SCENARIO 14-19 The marketing manager for a nationally franchised lawn service company would like to study the characteristics that differentiate home owners who do and do not have a lawn service. A random sample of 30 home owners located in a suburban area near a large city was selected; 11 did not have a lawn service (code 0) and 19 had a lawn service (code 1). Additional information available concerning these 30 home owners includes family income (Income, in thousands of dollars) and lawn size (Lawn Size, in thousands of square feet). The PHStat output is given below: Binary Logistic Regression Predictor Coefficients SE Coef Z p -Value Intercept -7.8562 3.8224 -2.0553 0.0398 Income 0.0304 0.0133 2.2897 0.0220 Lawn Size 1.2804 0.6971 1.8368 0.0662 Deviance 25.3089 -Referring to Scenario 14-19, what is the estimated odds ratio for a home owner with a family income of $50,000 and a lawn size of 2,000 square feet?

SCENARIO 14-20-B You are the CEO of a dairy company. You are planning to expand milk production by purchasing additional cows, lands and hiring more workers. From the existing 50 farms owned by the company, you have collected data on total milk production (in liters), the number of milking cows, land size (in acres) and the number of laborers. The data are shown below and also available in the Excel file Scenario14-20-DataB.XLSX. MILK 84686 101876 103248 70508 76072 86615 87508 105195 120351 68658 You believe that the number of milking cows $\left( X _ { 1 } \right)$ , land size $\left( X _ { 2 } \right)$ and the number of laborers $\left( X _ { 3 } \right)$ are the best predictors for total milk production on any given farm. -Referring to Scenario 14-20-B, what is the p-value of the test statistic to determine whether there is a significant relationship between total milk production and the entire set of explanatory variables?