Exam 20: Probability and Combinatorics

SCENARIO 6-8 A company has 125 personal computers. The probability that any one of them will require repair on a given day is 0.15. -Referring to Scenario 6-8, which of the following is one of the properties required so that the binomial distribution can be used to compute the probability that no more than 2 computers will Require repair on a given day?

SCENARIO 5-12 Two different designs on a new line of winter jackets for the coming winter are available for your manufacturing plants. Your profit (in thousands of dollars) will depend on the taste of the consumers when winter arrives. The probability of the three possible different tastes of the consumers and the corresponding profits are presented in the following table. Probability Taste Design A Design B 0.2 more conservative 180 520 0.5 no change 230 310 0.3 more liberal 350 270 -Referring to Scenario 5-12, if you decide to choose Design A for 90% of the production lines and Design B for the remaining production lines, what is the expected profit?

SCENARIO 16-17 Given below are the prices of a basket of four food items from 2008 to 2012. Year Wheat( \/ Bushel) Corn( \/ Bushel) Soybeans( \/ Bushel) Milk( \/ hundredweight) 2008 4.25 3.71 7.41 15.03 2009 3.43 2.7 7.55 13.63 2010 2.63 2.3 6.05 15.18 2011 2.11 1.97 4.68 14.72 2012 2.16 1.9 4.81 12.32 -Referring to Scenario 16-17, what are the simple price indices for wheat, corn, soybeans and milk, respectively, in 2012 using 2008 as the base year?

SCENARIO 11-13 An important factor in selecting database software is the time required for a user to learn how to use the system. To evaluate three potential brands (A, B and C) of database software, a company designed a test involving five different employees. To reduce variability due to differences among employees, each of the five employees is trained on each of the three different brands. The amount of time (in hours) needed to learn each of the three different brands is given below: Software Operator A B C 1 17 17 23 2 18 17 23 3 14 13 19 4 12 11 18 5 19 17 22 Mean 16 15 21 $\text { Below is the Excel output for the randomized block design: }$ Source of Variation SS df MS F P-value Fcrit Rows 84.66667 4 21.16667 50.8 9.98-06 3.837853 Columns 103.3333 2 51.66667 124 9.54-07 4.45897 Error 3.333333 8 0.416667 Total 191.3333 14 -Referring to Scenario 11-13, the among-group variation or SSA is __________.

The portfolio expected return of two investments

SCENARIO 11-12 A student team in a business statistics course designed an experiment to investigate whether the brand of bubblegum used affected the size of bubbles they could blow. To reduce the person-to-person variability, the students decided to use a randomized block design using themselves as blocks. Four brands of bubblegum were tested. A student chewed two pieces of a brand of gum and then blew a bubble, attempting to make it as big as possible. Another student measured the diameter of the bubble at its biggest point. The following table gives the diameters of the bubbles (in inches) for the 16 observations. -Referring to Scenario 11-12, what is the null hypothesis for testing the block effects? a) $H _ { 0 } : \mu _ { A } = \mu _ { B } = \mu _ { C } = \mu _ { D }$ b) $H _ { 0 } : \mu _ { K _ { \text {ve } } } = \mu _ { \text {Sarah } } = \mu _ { \text {Leigh } } = \mu _ { \text {Issac } }$ c) $H _ { 0 } : M _ { A } = M _ { B } = M _ { C } = M _ { D }$ d) $H _ { 0 } : M _ { \text {Eyle } } = M _ { \text {Sarah } } = M _ { \text {Leigh } } = M _ { \text {Lesac } }$

If we are performing a two-tail test of whether $\mu = 100$ , the probability of detecting a shift of the mean to 105 will be ________ the probability of detecting a shift of the mean to 110.

For a price index, it is preferable to select the base period in a period of economic stability.

To construct a bootstrap confidence interval estimate for the population mean, you do not need a very large number (in the thousands) of resamples.

SCENARIO 4-17 Jake woke up late in the morning on the day that he has to go to school to take an important test. He can either take the shuttle bus which is usually running late 20% of the time or ride his unreliable motorcycle which breaks down 40% of the time. He decides to toss a fair coin to make his choice. -Referring to Scenario 4-17, if Jake is late to the test, what is the probability that he took the bus?

A high school debate team of 4 is to be chosen from a class of 35. How many possible ways can the team be formed?

SCENARIO 11-11 An agronomist wants to compare the crop yield of 3 varieties of chickpea seeds. She plants all 3 varieties of the seeds on each of 5 different patches of fields. She then measures the crop yield in bushels per acre. Treating this as a randomized block design, the results are presented in the table that follows. 1 11.1 19.0 14.6 2 13.5 18.0 15.7 3 15.3 19.8 16.8 4 14.6 19.6 16.7 5 9.8 16.6 15.2 -Referring to Scenario 11-11, what is the p-value of the F test statistic for testing the block effects?

SCENARIO 16-17 Given below are the prices of a basket of four food items from 2008 to 2012. Year Wheat( \/ Bushel) Corn( \/ Bushel) Soybeans( \/ Bushel) Milk( \/ hundredweight) 2008 4.25 3.71 7.41 15.03 2009 3.43 2.7 7.55 13.63 2010 2.63 2.3 6.05 15.18 2011 2.11 1.97 4.68 14.72 2012 2.16 1.9 4.81 12.32 -Referring to Scenario 16-17, what are the simple price indices for wheat, corn, soybeans and milk, respectively, in 2009 using 2012 as the base year?

One of the reasons that a correction for continuity adjustment is needed when approximating the binomial distribution with a normal distribution is because a random variable having a binomial distribution can have only a specified value while a random variable having a normal distribution can take on any values within an interval around that specified value.

SCENARIO 9-12 A drug company is considering marketing a new local anesthetic. The effective time of the anesthetic the drug company is currently producing has a normal distribution with a mean of 7.4 minutes with a standard deviation of 1.2 minutes. The chemistry of the new anesthetic is such that the effective time should be normally distributed with the same standard deviation. The company will market the new local anesthetic as being better if there is evidence that the population mean effective time is greater than the 7.4 minutes of the current local anesthetic. -Referring to Scenario 9-12, if you select a sample of 25 new local anesthetics and are willing to have a level of significance of 0.05, the probability of the company not marketing the new local anesthetic when it is not better is _____.

SCENARIO 16-17 Given below are the prices of a basket of four food items from 2008 to 2012. Year Wheat( \/ Bushel) Corn( \/ Bushel) Soybeans( \/ Bushel) Milk( \/ hundredweight) 2008 4.25 3.71 7.41 15.03 2009 3.43 2.7 7.55 13.63 2010 2.63 2.3 6.05 15.18 2011 2.11 1.97 4.68 14.72 2012 2.16 1.9 4.81 12.32 -Referring to Scenario 16-17, what is the unweighted aggregate price index for the basket of four food items in 2011 using 2008 as the base year?

SCENARIO 9-12 A drug company is considering marketing a new local anesthetic. The effective time of the anesthetic the drug company is currently producing has a normal distribution with a mean of 7.4 minutes with a standard deviation of 1.2 minutes. The chemistry of the new anesthetic is such that the effective time should be normally distributed with the same standard deviation. The company will market the new local anesthetic as being better if there is evidence that the population mean effective time is greater than the 7.4 minutes of the current local anesthetic. -Referring to Scenario 9-12, if you select a sample of 25 new local anesthetics and are willing to have a level of significance of 0.05, the probability of the company failing to market the new local anesthetic when it is better is _____ if the population mean effective time is 8 minutes.

The interval between patients arriving at an outpatient clinic follows an exponential distribution with mean 15 minutes. What is the probability that a randomly chosen arrival to be more than 18 minutes?

The V in the DCOVA framework stands for "visualize".

SCENARIO 11-11 An agronomist wants to compare the crop yield of 3 varieties of chickpea seeds. She plants all 3 varieties of the seeds on each of 5 different patches of fields. She then measures the crop yield in bushels per acre. Treating this as a randomized block design, the results are presented in the table that follows. 1 11.1 19.0 14.6 2 13.5 18.0 15.7 3 15.3 19.8 16.8 4 14.6 19.6 16.7 5 9.8 16.6 15.2 -Referring to Scenario 11-11, the among-group variation or SSA is __________.