Exam 17: Biases in Managerial Decision Making

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When outcomes are framed in terms of losses, people are risk-seeking.

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Simplifying strategies are ineffective in reducing the amount of cognitive effort required to reach a judgment.

(True/False)
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Concrete information has less impact on our decisions than abstract information.

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The availability heuristic is based on similarity judgments.

(True/False)
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A _____ is a shift in judgment away from a contextual reference point.

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Managers tend to focus most on information relevant to a decision, except that which is:

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The assimilation effect occurs when very different objects or issues are compared and judgments of the target object is displaced away from the reference point.

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Group polarization is the opposite of groupthink.

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A manager who helped develop a new product that looks like it would be successful predicted a 90% chance of success for the new product. However, historical data indicate that of all new products introduced, only about 50% succeed. This suggests that the manager's prediction was guided primarily by the:

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When two similar objects or issues are compared, and they are judged to be very similar, this is an example of what context effect?

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Diagnosticity depends on the extent to which information implies one hypothesis over another hypothesis.

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_____ is a shift toward a contextual reference point.

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Information that doesn't fluctuate is said to be reliable.

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_____ is the tendency to focus on one possibility at a time and ignore other possibilities.

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Intuitive judgments made on the basis of the representativeness heuristic tends to be non-regressive.

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_____ occurs when a decision maker continues to perceive a belief as true even when the basis for the belief is disproved.

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Information quality is determined by two factors: reliability and recentcy.

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Busy decision makers tend to focus on:

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The representativeness heuristic influences causal judgments as well as judgments of category membership.

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Information that is emotionally interesting (vs. uninteresting) is more likely to be vivid for the decision maker.

(True/False)
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