Exam 19: Strategies for Improving Managerial Decision Making

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Explain the difference between "seizing" and "freezing."

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Which actions do not improve managerial judgment?

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An event seems much more likely to occur if when a scenario related to that event is presented or imagined.

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Confidence decreases as insensitivity to omissions increases.

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In Bayes's Theorem, the likelihood ratio serves as a measure of the probability of a hypothesis being true.

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The decision aid involving the use of a list of categories of common difficulties for use in troubleshooting is known as:

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Statistically, when a manager considers more options, there is a greater chance of finding an optimal solution.

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The linear model is:

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Linear models can only deal with objective (rather than subjective) information.

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Many fmns require their managers to justify and explain their judgments to a higher-ranking officer in the firm.

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The base rate is a statistic based on:

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One reason people tend to underuse base rate information is that base rate is a sum statistic based on the occurrence of a single important event in the past.

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Fault trees would not be helpful for the restaurant management industry due to the nature of the tool.

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Bayes's theorem is closely relate to what heuristic?

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Validity and reliability should be strongly considered when evaluating information quality.

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People sometimes base rate information because it is a statistic.

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Subjective linear modeling would be a good way to select which university to attend for a high school student.

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When can accountability improve decision making? When can it harm decision making?

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Information that confounds measures of a target with measures of nontargets are:

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When several independent or unrelated pieces of iuforrnation taken from a large data set poiut to the same conclusion, a manager should be concerned with:

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