Exam 16: Time Series and Forecasting

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For the third quarter, the sales are 1,500 units; the seasonal index for the quarter is 1.15. What are the deseasonalized sales for the quarter?

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If four seasonal indexes are reported for a time series, how often are data reported? _______________________

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The table below shows the sales for a resort hotel recorded over the past year. The seasonal indexes for each quarter are also provided. To track the trend for these four quarters, use the indexes to deseasonalize the sales data The table below shows the sales for a resort hotel recorded over the past year. The seasonal indexes for each quarter are also provided. To track the trend for these four quarters, use the indexes to deseasonalize the sales data   What is the deseasonalized sales value for quarter 3? What is the deseasonalized sales value for quarter 3?

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Product sales since 2001 are: Product sales since 2001 are:   The least squares trend equation is given as Ŷ = 100 + 28t, where t is set equal to one for 2001. On average, how much did sales change per year from 2001 to 2009? The least squares trend equation is given as Ŷ = 100 + 28t, where t is set equal to one for 2001. On average, how much did sales change per year from 2001 to 2009?

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What is an advantage of the least squares method for determining a trend line equation?

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Since a ski resort does most of its business in the winter, what is the major source of variation that affects sales?

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The trend forecast equation is Ŷ = 50 + 420t. The next forecast is for period 10. The typical seasonal index for period 10 is 1.25. What are the forecast sales for period 10?

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Product sales since 2001 are: Product sales since 2001 are:   The least squares trend equation is given as Ŷ = 100 + 28t, where t is set equal to one for 2001. What is the 3 year moving average for 2007 to 2009? The least squares trend equation is given as Ŷ = 100 + 28t, where t is set equal to one for 2001. What is the 3 year moving average for 2007 to 2009?

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An analysis of past seasonal fluctuations can be helpful in planning production for items such as toys, dolls, Easter eggs, and other holiday-oriented goods.

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Knowing the seasonal pattern in the form of indexes allows the retailer to deseasonalize sales. This is accomplished by dividing the actual sales for a month by the typical index for that month.

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If a trend equation is Ŷ = 15 + 75t, what is the periodic increase in the forecast? _____

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What is "a" in the least squares trend equation?

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What does a typical sales index of 96 for January indicate about sales? ___________________________________

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A plastics manufacturer performed a quarterly time series analysis for demands over the last five years (periods 1 through 20). The analysis resulted in the following trend equation and seasonal indexes: Ŷ = 920.0 + 22.6t A plastics manufacturer performed a quarterly time series analysis for demands over the last five years (periods 1 through 20). The analysis resulted in the following trend equation and seasonal indexes: Ŷ = 920.0 + 22.6t   The seasonal indexes sum to 4.0. Therefore the indexes have been: The seasonal indexes sum to 4.0. Therefore the indexes have been:

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The merchants in Dallas, Texas, suffered flood damage in May 2003. Stores were closed for remodeling nearly two months. What is this type of variation in sales called?

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The trend forecast equation is Ŷ = 100 + 120t. The next forecast is for period 11. The typical seasonal index for period 11 is 1.25. What are the forecast sales for period 11?

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To calculate monthly typical seasonal indexes, a specific seasonal index must be computed for

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In the final step, using the ratio-to-moving-average method, the total of the 12 modified means should theoretically be equal to 1,200 because the average of the 12 months is designated as 100.

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To calculate monthly typical seasonal indexes, the specific seasonal indexes must be averaged for

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For the third quarter, the sales are 1,000 units; the seasonal index for the quarter is 1.10. What are the deseasonalized sales for the quarter?

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