Exam 16: Time Series and Forecasting
Exam 1: What Is Statistics79 Questions
Exam 2: Describing Data: Frequency Tables, Frequency Distributions, and Graphic Presentation129 Questions
Exam 3: Describing Data: Numerical Measures132 Questions
Exam 4: Describing Data: Displaying and Exploring Data108 Questions
Exam 5: A Survey of Probability Concepts130 Questions
Exam 6: Discrete Probability Distributions128 Questions
Exam 7: Continuous Probability Distributions131 Questions
Exam 8: Sampling Methods and the Central Limit Theorem115 Questions
Exam 9: Estimation and Confidence Intervals129 Questions
Exam 10: One-Sample Tests of Hypothesis134 Questions
Exam 11: Two-Sample Tests of Hypothesis130 Questions
Exam 12: Analysis of Variance128 Questions
Exam 13: Correlation and Linear Regression130 Questions
Exam 14: Multiple Regression Analysis129 Questions
Exam 15: Index Numbers129 Questions
Exam 16: Time Series and Forecasting129 Questions
Exam 17: Nonparametric Methods: Goodness-Of-Fit Tests129 Questions
Exam 18: Nonparametric Methods: Analysis of Ranked Data129 Questions
Exam 19: Statistical Process Control and Quality Management129 Questions
Exam 20: An Introduction to Decision Theory115 Questions
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For the third quarter, the sales are 1,500 units; the seasonal index for the quarter is 1.15. What are the deseasonalized sales for the quarter?
(Multiple Choice)
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If four seasonal indexes are reported for a time series, how often are data reported? _______________________
(Short Answer)
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The table below shows the sales for a resort hotel recorded over the past year. The seasonal indexes for each quarter are also provided. To track the trend for these four quarters, use the indexes to deseasonalize the sales data
What is the deseasonalized sales value for quarter 3?

(Short Answer)
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Product sales since 2001 are:
The least squares trend equation is given as
Ŷ = 100 + 28t, where t is set equal to one for 2001.
On average, how much did sales change per year from 2001 to 2009?

(Short Answer)
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What is an advantage of the least squares method for determining a trend line equation?
(Multiple Choice)
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Since a ski resort does most of its business in the winter, what is the major source of variation that affects sales?
(Multiple Choice)
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The trend forecast equation is Ŷ = 50 + 420t. The next forecast is for period 10. The typical seasonal index for period 10 is 1.25. What are the forecast sales for period 10?
(Multiple Choice)
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Product sales since 2001 are:
The least squares trend equation is given as
Ŷ = 100 + 28t, where t is set equal to one for 2001.
What is the 3 year moving average for 2007 to 2009?

(Short Answer)
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An analysis of past seasonal fluctuations can be helpful in planning production for items such as toys, dolls, Easter eggs, and other holiday-oriented goods.
(True/False)
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Knowing the seasonal pattern in the form of indexes allows the retailer to deseasonalize sales. This is accomplished by dividing the actual sales for a month by the typical index for that month.
(True/False)
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If a trend equation is Ŷ = 15 + 75t, what is the periodic increase in the forecast? _____
(Short Answer)
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What does a typical sales index of 96 for January indicate about sales? ___________________________________
(Short Answer)
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A plastics manufacturer performed a quarterly time series analysis for demands over the last five years (periods 1 through 20). The analysis resulted in the following trend equation and seasonal indexes:
Ŷ = 920.0 + 22.6t
The seasonal indexes sum to 4.0. Therefore the indexes have been:

(Short Answer)
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The merchants in Dallas, Texas, suffered flood damage in May 2003. Stores were closed for remodeling nearly two months. What is this type of variation in sales called?
(Multiple Choice)
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The trend forecast equation is Ŷ = 100 + 120t. The next forecast is for period 11. The typical seasonal index for period 11 is 1.25. What are the forecast sales for period 11?
(Multiple Choice)
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To calculate monthly typical seasonal indexes, a specific seasonal index must be computed for
(Multiple Choice)
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In the final step, using the ratio-to-moving-average method, the total of the 12 modified means should theoretically be equal to 1,200 because the average of the 12 months is designated as 100.
(True/False)
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To calculate monthly typical seasonal indexes, the specific seasonal indexes must be averaged for
(Multiple Choice)
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For the third quarter, the sales are 1,000 units; the seasonal index for the quarter is 1.10. What are the deseasonalized sales for the quarter?
(Multiple Choice)
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