Exam 16: Simple Linear Regression and Correlation

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In a regression problem the following pairs of (x,y)are given: (3,1),(3,−1),(3,0),(3,−2)and (3,2).That indicates that the:

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Oil Quality and Price Quality of oil is measured in API gravity degrees--the higher the degrees API,the higher the quality.The table shown below is produced by an expert in the field who believes that there is a relationship between quality and price per barrel. Oil Quality and Price  Quality of oil is measured in API gravity degrees--the higher the degrees API,the higher the quality.The table shown below is produced by an expert in the field who believes that there is a relationship between quality and price per barrel.   A partial Minitab output follows: Descriptive Statistics Variable N Mean StDev SE Mean Degrees 13 34.60 4.613 1.280 Price 13 12.730 0.457 0.127 Covariances Degrees Price Degrees 21.281667 Price 2.026750 0.208833 Regression Analysis Predictor Coef StDev T P Constant 9.4349 0.2867 32.91 0.000 Degrees 0.095235 0.008220 11.59 0.000 S = 0.1314 R−Sq = 92.46% R−Sq(adj)= 91.7% Analysis of Variance Source DF SS MS F P Regression 1 2.3162 2.3162 134.24 0.000 Residual Error 11 0.1898 0.0173 Total 12 2.5060 -{Oil Quality and Price Narrative} Use the residuals to compute the standardized residuals. A partial Minitab output follows: Descriptive Statistics Variable N Mean StDev SE Mean Degrees 13 34.60 4.613 1.280 Price 13 12.730 0.457 0.127 Covariances Degrees Price Degrees 21.281667 Price 2.026750 0.208833 Regression Analysis Predictor Coef StDev T P Constant 9.4349 0.2867 32.91 0.000 Degrees 0.095235 0.008220 11.59 0.000 S = 0.1314 R−Sq = 92.46% R−Sq(adj)= 91.7% Analysis of Variance Source DF SS MS F P Regression 1 2.3162 2.3162 134.24 0.000 Residual Error 11 0.1898 0.0173 Total 12 2.5060 -{Oil Quality and Price Narrative} Use the residuals to compute the standardized residuals.

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Rock Concert Revenues A financier whose specialty is investing in rock concerts has observed that,in general,concerts with "big-name" stars seem to generate more revenue than those concerts whose stars are less well known.To examine his belief he records the gross revenue and the payment (in $ millions)given to the two highest-paid performers in the concert for ten concert tours. Rock Concert Revenues  A financier whose specialty is investing in rock concerts has observed that,in general,concerts with big-name stars seem to generate more revenue than those concerts whose stars are less well known.To examine his belief he records the gross revenue and the payment (in $ millions)given to the two highest-paid performers in the concert for ten concert tours.   ​ ​ -{Rock Concert Revenues Narrative} Conduct a test of the population coefficient of correlation to determine at the 5% significance level whether a positive linear relationship exists between payment to the two highest-paid performers and gross revenue. ​ ​ -{Rock Concert Revenues Narrative} Conduct a test of the population coefficient of correlation to determine at the 5% significance level whether a positive linear relationship exists between payment to the two highest-paid performers and gross revenue.

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In simple linear regression,the denominator of the standard error of estimate sε is In simple linear regression,the denominator of the standard error of estimate sε is   . .

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Graphically,a prediction interval is represented as two ____________________ lines.

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Income and Education A professor of economics wants to study the relationship between income (y in $1000s)and education (x in years).A random sample eight individuals is taken and the results are shown below.  Income and Education A professor of economics wants to study the relationship between income (y in $1000s)and education (x in years).A random sample eight individuals is taken and the results are shown below.   ​ ​ -{Income and Education Narrative} Draw a scatter diagram of the data.Comment on whether it appears that a linear model might be appropriate. ​ ​ -{Income and Education Narrative} Draw a scatter diagram of the data.Comment on whether it appears that a linear model might be appropriate.

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Game Show Winnings & Education An ardent fan of television game shows has observed that,in general,the more educated the contestant,the less money he or she wins.To test her belief she gathers data about the last eight winners of her favorite game show.She records their winnings in dollars and the number of years of education.The results are as follows. Game Show Winnings & Education  An ardent fan of television game shows has observed that,in general,the more educated the contestant,the less money he or she wins.To test her belief she gathers data about the last eight winners of her favorite game show.She records their winnings in dollars and the number of years of education.The results are as follows.   ​ ​ -{Game Show Winnings & Education Narrative} Do the tests ρ and β<sub>1</sub> in the previous two questions provide the same results? Explain. ​ ​ -{Game Show Winnings & Education Narrative} Do the tests ρ and β1 in the previous two questions provide the same results? Explain.

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Sales and Experience The general manager of a chain of department stores believes that experience is the most important factor in determining the level of success of a salesperson. To examine this belief she records last month's sales (in $1,000s) and the years of experience of 10 randomly selected salespeople. These data are listed below. Sales and Experience The general manager of a chain of department stores believes that experience is the most important factor in determining the level of success of a salesperson. To examine this belief she records last month's sales (in $1,000s) and the years of experience of 10 randomly selected salespeople. These data are listed below.   -(Sales and Experience Narrative} Determine the coefficient of determination and discuss what its value tells you about the two variables. -(Sales and Experience Narrative} Determine the coefficient of determination and discuss what its value tells you about the two variables.

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Cost of Textbooks The editor of a higher education book publisher claims that a large part of the cost of books is the cost of paper. This implies that larger textbooks will cost more money. As an experiment to analyze the claim, a university student visits the bookstore and records the number of pages and the selling price of twelve randomly selected textbooks. These data are listed below Cost of Textbooks The editor of a higher education book publisher claims that a large part of the cost of books is the cost of paper. This implies that larger textbooks will cost more money. As an experiment to analyze the claim, a university student visits the bookstore and records the number of pages and the selling price of twelve randomly selected textbooks. These data are listed below   -{Cost of Books Narrative} Which interval in the previous question is narrower: the confidence interval estimate of the expected value of y or the prediction interval for the same given value of x (10 years)and same confidence level? Why? -{Cost of Books Narrative} Which interval in the previous question is narrower: the confidence interval estimate of the expected value of y or the prediction interval for the same given value of x (10 years)and same confidence level? Why?

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There is ____________________ error in estimating a mean than in predicting an individual value.

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The residuals are observations of the error variable ε.Consequently,the minimized sum of squared deviations is called the sum of squares for error,denoted SSE.

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Game Winnings & Education An ardent fan of television game shows has observed that,in general,the more educated the contestant,the less money he or she wins.To test her belief she gathers data about the last eight winners of her favorite game show.She records their winnings in dollars and the number of years of education.The results are as follows. Game Winnings & Education  An ardent fan of television game shows has observed that,in general,the more educated the contestant,the less money he or she wins.To test her belief she gathers data about the last eight winners of her favorite game show.She records their winnings in dollars and the number of years of education.The results are as follows.   ​ ​ -{Game Winnings & Education Narrative} Use the predicted and actual values of y to calculate the residuals. ​ ​ -{Game Winnings & Education Narrative} Use the predicted and actual values of y to calculate the residuals.

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In the simple linear regression model,the y-intercept represents the:

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Truck Speed and Gas Mileage An economist wanted to analyze the relationship between the speed of a truck (x)and its gas mileage (y).As an experiment a truck is operated at several different speeds and for each speed the gas mileage is measured.These data are shown below. Truck Speed and Gas Mileage  An economist wanted to analyze the relationship between the speed of a truck (x)and its gas mileage (y).As an experiment a truck is operated at several different speeds and for each speed the gas mileage is measured.These data are shown below.   ​ ​ -{Truck Speed and Gas Mileage Narrative} Predict with 99% confidence the gas mileage of a car traveling 55 mph. ​ ​ -{Truck Speed and Gas Mileage Narrative} Predict with 99% confidence the gas mileage of a car traveling 55 mph.

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Oil Quality and Price Quality of oil is measured in API gravity degrees--the higher the degrees API,the higher the quality.The table shown below is produced by an expert in the field who believes that there is a relationship between quality and price per barrel. Oil Quality and Price  Quality of oil is measured in API gravity degrees--the higher the degrees API,the higher the quality.The table shown below is produced by an expert in the field who believes that there is a relationship between quality and price per barrel.   A partial Minitab output follows: Descriptive Statistics Variable N Mean StDev SE Mean Degrees 13 34.60 4.613 1.280 Price 13 12.730 0.457 0.127 Covariances Degrees Price Degrees 21.281667 Price 2.026750 0.208833 Regression Analysis Predictor Coef StDev T P Constant 9.4349 0.2867 32.91 0.000 Degrees 0.095235 0.008220 11.59 0.000 S = 0.1314 R−Sq = 92.46% R−Sq(adj)= 91.7% Analysis of Variance Source DF SS MS F P Regression 1 2.3162 2.3162 134.24 0.000 Residual Error 11 0.1898 0.0173 Total 12 2.5060 -{Oil Quality and Price Narrative} Identify possible outliers. A partial Minitab output follows: Descriptive Statistics Variable N Mean StDev SE Mean Degrees 13 34.60 4.613 1.280 Price 13 12.730 0.457 0.127 Covariances Degrees Price Degrees 21.281667 Price 2.026750 0.208833 Regression Analysis Predictor Coef StDev T P Constant 9.4349 0.2867 32.91 0.000 Degrees 0.095235 0.008220 11.59 0.000 S = 0.1314 R−Sq = 92.46% R−Sq(adj)= 91.7% Analysis of Variance Source DF SS MS F P Regression 1 2.3162 2.3162 134.24 0.000 Residual Error 11 0.1898 0.0173 Total 12 2.5060 -{Oil Quality and Price Narrative} Identify possible outliers.

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A straight line regression model with only one independent variable is called a(n)____________________-order linear model.

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Oil Quality and Price Quality of oil is measured in API gravity degrees--the higher the degrees API, the higher the quality. The table shown below is produced by an expert in the field who believes that there is a relationship between quality and price per barrel. Oil Quality and Price Quality of oil is measured in API gravity degrees--the higher the degrees API, the higher the quality. The table shown below is produced by an expert in the field who believes that there is a relationship between quality and price per barrel.   A partial Minitab output follows:         -{Oil Quality and Price Narrative} Determine the coefficient of determination and discuss what its value tells you about the two variables. A partial Minitab output follows: Oil Quality and Price Quality of oil is measured in API gravity degrees--the higher the degrees API, the higher the quality. The table shown below is produced by an expert in the field who believes that there is a relationship between quality and price per barrel.   A partial Minitab output follows:         -{Oil Quality and Price Narrative} Determine the coefficient of determination and discuss what its value tells you about the two variables. Oil Quality and Price Quality of oil is measured in API gravity degrees--the higher the degrees API, the higher the quality. The table shown below is produced by an expert in the field who believes that there is a relationship between quality and price per barrel.   A partial Minitab output follows:         -{Oil Quality and Price Narrative} Determine the coefficient of determination and discuss what its value tells you about the two variables. Oil Quality and Price Quality of oil is measured in API gravity degrees--the higher the degrees API, the higher the quality. The table shown below is produced by an expert in the field who believes that there is a relationship between quality and price per barrel.   A partial Minitab output follows:         -{Oil Quality and Price Narrative} Determine the coefficient of determination and discuss what its value tells you about the two variables. Oil Quality and Price Quality of oil is measured in API gravity degrees--the higher the degrees API, the higher the quality. The table shown below is produced by an expert in the field who believes that there is a relationship between quality and price per barrel.   A partial Minitab output follows:         -{Oil Quality and Price Narrative} Determine the coefficient of determination and discuss what its value tells you about the two variables. -{Oil Quality and Price Narrative} Determine the coefficient of determination and discuss what its value tells you about the two variables.

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In a simple linear regression model,testing whether the slope β1 of the population regression line could be zero is the same as testing whether or not the population coefficient of correlation ρ equals zero.

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If the standard error of estimate is zero,then:

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Game Winnings & Education An ardent fan of television game shows has observed that,in general,the more educated the contestant,the less money he or she wins.To test her belief she gathers data about the last eight winners of her favorite game show.She records their winnings in dollars and the number of years of education.The results are as follows. Game Winnings & Education  An ardent fan of television game shows has observed that,in general,the more educated the contestant,the less money he or she wins.To test her belief she gathers data about the last eight winners of her favorite game show.She records their winnings in dollars and the number of years of education.The results are as follows.   ​ ​ -{Game Winnings & Education Narrative} Plot the residuals against the predicted values   .What does the graph tell you? ​ ​ -{Game Winnings & Education Narrative} Plot the residuals against the predicted values Game Winnings & Education  An ardent fan of television game shows has observed that,in general,the more educated the contestant,the less money he or she wins.To test her belief she gathers data about the last eight winners of her favorite game show.She records their winnings in dollars and the number of years of education.The results are as follows.   ​ ​ -{Game Winnings & Education Narrative} Plot the residuals against the predicted values   .What does the graph tell you? .What does the graph tell you?

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