Exam 15: Multiple Regression Model Building

SCENARIO 15-2 In Hawaii, condemnation proceedings are under way to enable private citizens to own the property that their homes are built on.Until recently, only estates were permitted to own land, and homeowners leased the land from the estate.In order to comply with the new law, a large Hawaiian estate wants to use regression analysis to estimate the fair market value of the land. The following model was fit to data collected for n = 20 properties, 10 of which are located near a cove. Model 1: where Y Sale price of property in thousands of dollars Size of property in thousands of square feet 1 if property located near cove, 0 if not Using the data collected for the 20 properties, the following partial output obtained from Microsoft Excel is shown: SUMMARY OUTPUT -Referring to Scenario 15-2, is the overall model statistically adequate at a 0.05 level of significance for predicting sale price (Y)?

One of the consequences of collinearity in multiple regression is inflated standard errors in some or all of the estimated slope coefficients.

The Variance Inflationary Factor (VIF)measures the

Which of the following procedures in model selections is an attempt to find the best regression model without examining all possible models?

SCENARIO 15-6 Given below are results from the regression analysis on 40 observations where the dependent variable is the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff (Y)and the independent variables are the age of the worker ( ), the number of years of education received ( ), the number of years at the previous job ( ), a dummy variable for marital status ( 1 = married, 0 = otherwise), a dummy variable for head of household ( 1 = yes, 0 = no)and a dummy variable for management position ( 1 = yes, 0 = no). The coefficient of multiple determination ( )for the regression model using each of the 6 variables as the dependent variable and all other X variables as independent variables are, respectively, 0.2628, 0.1240, 0.2404, 0.3510, 0.3342 and 0.0993. The partial results from best-subset regression are given below: -Referring to Scenario 15-6, what is the value of the variance inflationary factor of Married?

Using the Cp statistic in model building, all models with are equally good.

SCENARIO 15-3 A chemist employed by a pharmaceutical firm has developed a muscle relaxant.She took a sample of 14 people suffering from extreme muscle constriction.She gave each a vial containing a dose (X)of the drug and recorded the time to relief (Y)measured in seconds for each.She fit a curvilinear model to this data.The results obtained by Microsoft Excel follow SUMMARY OUTPUT -Referring to Scenario 15-3, suppose the chemist decides to use a t test to determine if there is a significant difference between a linear model and a curvilinear model that includes a linear term.The p-value of the test statistic for the contribution of the curvilinear term is ________.

The logarithm transformation can be used

SCENARIO 15-6 Given below are results from the regression analysis on 40 observations where the dependent variable is the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff (Y)and the independent variables are the age of the worker ( ), the number of years of education received ( ), the number of years at the previous job ( ), a dummy variable for marital status ( 1 = married, 0 = otherwise), a dummy variable for head of household ( 1 = yes, 0 = no)and a dummy variable for management position ( 1 = yes, 0 = no). The coefficient of multiple determination ( )for the regression model using each of the 6 variables as the dependent variable and all other X variables as independent variables are, respectively, 0.2628, 0.1240, 0.2404, 0.3510, 0.3342 and 0.0993. The partial results from best-subset regression are given below: -Referring to Scenario 15-6, the model that includes all six independent variables should be selected using the adjusted statistic.

SCENARIO 15-5 What are the factors that determine the acceleration time (in sec.)from 0 to 60 miles per hour of a car? Data on the following variables for 171 different vehicle models were collected: Accel Time: Acceleration time in sec. Cargo Vol: Cargo volume in cu.ft. HP: Horsepower MPG: Miles per gallon SUV: 1 if the vehicle model is an SUV with Coupe as the base when SUV and Sedan are both 0 Sedan: 1 if the vehicle model is a sedan with Coupe as the base when SUV and Sedan are both 0 The coefficient of multiple determination ( )for the regression model using each of the 5 variables as the dependent variable and all other X variables as independent variables are, respectively, 0.7461, 0.5676, 0.6764, 0.8582, 0.6632. -Referring to Scenario 15-5, what is the value of the variance inflationary factor of

SCENARIO 15-6 Given below are results from the regression analysis on 40 observations where the dependent variable is the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff (Y)and the independent variables are the age of the worker ( ), the number of years of education received ( ), the number of years at the previous job ( ), a dummy variable for marital status ( 1 = married, 0 = otherwise), a dummy variable for head of household ( 1 = yes, 0 = no)and a dummy variable for management position ( 1 = yes, 0 = no). The coefficient of multiple determination ( )for the regression model using each of the 6 variables as the dependent variable and all other X variables as independent variables are, respectively, 0.2628, 0.1240, 0.2404, 0.3510, 0.3342 and 0.0993. The partial results from best-subset regression are given below: -Referring to Scenario 15-6, the variable X3 should be dropped to remove collinearity?

Collinearity is present when there is a high degree of correlation between the dependent variable and any of the independent variables.

SCENARIO 15-1 A certain type of rare gem serves as a status symbol for many of its owners.In theory, for low prices, the demand increases, and it decreases as the price of the gem increases.However, experts hypothesize that when the gem is valued at very high prices, the demand increases with price due to the status owners believe they gain in obtaining the gem.Thus, the model proposed to best explain the demand for the gem by its price is the quadratic model: where Y = demand (in thousands)and X = retail price per carat. This model was fit to data collected for a sample of 12 rare gems of this type.A portion of the computer analysis obtained from Microsoft Excel is shown below: SUMMARY OUTPUT -Referring to Scenario 15-1, what is the p-value associated with the test statistic for testing whether there is an upward curvature in the response curve relating the demand (Y)and the price (X)?

SCENARIO 15-6 Given below are results from the regression analysis on 40 observations where the dependent variable is the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff (Y)and the independent variables are the age of the worker ( ), the number of years of education received ( ), the number of years at the previous job ( ), a dummy variable for marital status ( 1 = married, 0 = otherwise), a dummy variable for head of household ( 1 = yes, 0 = no)and a dummy variable for management position ( 1 = yes, 0 = no). The coefficient of multiple determination ( )for the regression model using each of the 6 variables as the dependent variable and all other X variables as independent variables are, respectively, 0.2628, 0.1240, 0.2404, 0.3510, 0.3342 and 0.0993. The partial results from best-subset regression are given below: -Referring to Scenario 15-6, the variable X4 should be dropped to remove collinearity?

SCENARIO 15-6 Given below are results from the regression analysis on 40 observations where the dependent variable is the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff (Y)and the independent variables are the age of the worker ( ), the number of years of education received ( ), the number of years at the previous job ( ), a dummy variable for marital status ( 1 = married, 0 = otherwise), a dummy variable for head of household ( 1 = yes, 0 = no)and a dummy variable for management position ( 1 = yes, 0 = no). The coefficient of multiple determination ( )for the regression model using each of the 6 variables as the dependent variable and all other X variables as independent variables are, respectively, 0.2628, 0.1240, 0.2404, 0.3510, 0.3342 and 0.0993. The partial results from best-subset regression are given below: -Referring to Scenario 15-6, the model that includes should be selected using the adjusted r2 statistic.

SCENARIO 15-4 The superintendent of a school district wanted to predict the percentage of students passing a sixth-grade proficiency test.She obtained the data on percentage of students passing the proficiency test (% Passing), daily mean of the percentage of students attending class (% Attendance), mean teacher salary in dollars (Salaries), and instructional spending per pupil in dollars (Spending)of 47 schools in the state. Let Y = % Passing as the dependent variable, Attendance, Salaries and Spending. The coefficient of multiple determination ( )of each of the 3 predictors with all the other remaining predictors are, respectively, 0.0338, 0.4669, and 0.4743. The output from the best-subset regressions is given below: Following is the residual plot for % Attendance: Following is the output of several multiple regression models: -Referring to Scenario 15-4, the better model using a 5% level of significance derived from the "best" model above is

SCENARIO 15-4 The superintendent of a school district wanted to predict the percentage of students passing a sixth-grade proficiency test.She obtained the data on percentage of students passing the proficiency test (% Passing), daily mean of the percentage of students attending class (% Attendance), mean teacher salary in dollars (Salaries), and instructional spending per pupil in dollars (Spending)of 47 schools in the state. Let Y = % Passing as the dependent variable, Attendance, Salaries and Spending. The coefficient of multiple determination ( )of each of the 3 predictors with all the other remaining predictors are, respectively, 0.0338, 0.4669, and 0.4743. The output from the best-subset regressions is given below: Following is the residual plot for % Attendance: Following is the output of several multiple regression models: -what is the p-value of the test statistic to determine whether the quadratic effect of daily average of the percentage of students attending class on percentage of students passing the proficiency test is significant at a 5% level of significance?

SCENARIO 15-4 The superintendent of a school district wanted to predict the percentage of students passing a sixth-grade proficiency test.She obtained the data on percentage of students passing the proficiency test (% Passing), daily mean of the percentage of students attending class (% Attendance), mean teacher salary in dollars (Salaries), and instructional spending per pupil in dollars (Spending)of 47 schools in the state. Let Y = % Passing as the dependent variable, Attendance, Salaries and Spending. The coefficient of multiple determination ( )of each of the 3 predictors with all the other remaining predictors are, respectively, 0.0338, 0.4669, and 0.4743. The output from the best-subset regressions is given below: Following is the residual plot for % Attendance: Following is the output of several multiple regression models: -Referring to Scenario 15-4, what are, respectively, the values of the variance inflationary factor of the 3 predictors?

SCENARIO 15-6 Given below are results from the regression analysis on 40 observations where the dependent variable is the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff (Y)and the independent variables are the age of the worker ( ), the number of years of education received ( ), the number of years at the previous job ( ), a dummy variable for marital status ( 1 = married, 0 = otherwise), a dummy variable for head of household ( 1 = yes, 0 = no)and a dummy variable for management position ( 1 = yes, 0 = no). The coefficient of multiple determination ( )for the regression model using each of the 6 variables as the dependent variable and all other X variables as independent variables are, respectively, 0.2628, 0.1240, 0.2404, 0.3510, 0.3342 and 0.0993. The partial results from best-subset regression are given below: -Referring to Scenario 15-6, what is the value of the Mallow's statistic for the model that includes

The parameter estimates are biased when collinearity is present in a multiple regression equation.