Exam 18: Operational Decision-Making Tools: Decision Analysis

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A decision criterion in which the decision payoffs are weighted by a coefficient of optimism is known as the Hurwicz criterion.

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When probabilities are assigned to states of nature the situation is referred to as decision making under uncertainty.

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The maximum value of perfect information to the decision maker is known as

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A family business is considering making an investment in its manufacturing operation.Three decisions are under consideration: (1)a large investment; (2)a medium investment;and (3)a small investment.The business believes that there are three possible future outcomes for its product: (1)increasing demand; (2)stable demand;and (3)decreasing demand.The following payoff table describes the decision situation. A family business is considering making an investment in its manufacturing operation.Three decisions are under consideration: (1)a large investment; (2)a medium investment;and (3)a small investment.The business believes that there are three possible future outcomes for its product: (1)increasing demand; (2)stable demand;and (3)decreasing demand.The following payoff table describes the decision situation.   The best decision for the business using the maximax criterion would be to The best decision for the business using the maximax criterion would be to

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A small parts manufacturer has just engineered a new product for the automotive industry.In order to produce the part the company can expand existing facilities,acquire a competitor,or subcontract production.The company believes the product will either experience high market demand or low market demand.The following payoff table describes the company's decision situation. A small parts manufacturer has just engineered a new product for the automotive industry.In order to produce the part the company can expand existing facilities,acquire a competitor,or subcontract production.The company believes the product will either experience high market demand or low market demand.The following payoff table describes the company's decision situation.   The regret that is associated with the decision to acquire competitor when demand is low is The regret that is associated with the decision to acquire competitor when demand is low is

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A small parts manufacturer has just engineered a new product for the automotive industry.In order to produce the part the company can expand existing facilities,acquire a competitor,or subcontract production.The company believes the product will either experience high market demand or low market demand.The following payoff table describes the company's decision situation. A small parts manufacturer has just engineered a new product for the automotive industry.In order to produce the part the company can expand existing facilities,acquire a competitor,or subcontract production.The company believes the product will either experience high market demand or low market demand.The following payoff table describes the company's decision situation.   The best decision for the manufacturer using the minimax regret decision criterion is to The best decision for the manufacturer using the minimax regret decision criterion is to

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A decision criterion that results in the maximum of the minimum payoffs is called a maximin criterion.

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What is decision analysis?

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In a decision making situation the events that may occur in the future are known as states of nature.

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A family business is considering making an investment in its manufacturing operation.Three decisions are under consideration: (1)a large investment; (2)a medium investment;and (3)a small investment.The business believes that there are three possible future outcomes for its product: (1)increasing demand; (2)stable demand;and (3)decreasing demand.The following payoff table describes the decision situation. A family business is considering making an investment in its manufacturing operation.Three decisions are under consideration: (1)a large investment; (2)a medium investment;and (3)a small investment.The business believes that there are three possible future outcomes for its product: (1)increasing demand; (2)stable demand;and (3)decreasing demand.The following payoff table describes the decision situation.   The best decision for the business using the equal likelihood criterion would be to The best decision for the business using the equal likelihood criterion would be to

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A small parts manufacturer has just engineered a new product for the automotive industry.In order to produce the part the company can expand existing facilities,acquire a competitor,or subcontract production.The company believes the product will either experience high market demand or low market demand,with probabilities of 0.6 and 0.4,respectively.The following payoff table describes the company's decision situation. A small parts manufacturer has just engineered a new product for the automotive industry.In order to produce the part the company can expand existing facilities,acquire a competitor,or subcontract production.The company believes the product will either experience high market demand or low market demand,with probabilities of 0.6 and 0.4,respectively.The following payoff table describes the company's decision situation.   The expected value for the expand facilities decision is The expected value for the expand facilities decision is

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Decision analysis is a quantitative technique supporting decision making with uncertainty.

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A family business is considering making an investment in its manufacturing operation.Three decisions are under consideration: (1)a large investment; (2)a medium investment;and (3)a small investment.The business believes that there are three possible future outcomes for its product: (1)increasing demand; (2)stable demand;and (3)decreasing demand.The business believes that the probability for increasing,stable and decreasing product demand are 0.4,0.5,and 0.1,respectively.The following payoff table describes the decision situation. A family business is considering making an investment in its manufacturing operation.Three decisions are under consideration: (1)a large investment; (2)a medium investment;and (3)a small investment.The business believes that there are three possible future outcomes for its product: (1)increasing demand; (2)stable demand;and (3)decreasing demand.The business believes that the probability for increasing,stable and decreasing product demand are 0.4,0.5,and 0.1,respectively.The following payoff table describes the decision situation.   The expected value for the medium investment decision is The expected value for the medium investment decision is

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The LaPlace criterion is a decision criterion in which each state of nature is weighted equally.

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A payoff table is a quantitative technique supporting decision making under uncertainty.

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Which of the following techniques is the most widely used decision-making criterion under risk?

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A small parts manufacturer has just engineered a new product for the automotive industry.In order to produce the part the company can expand existing facilities,acquire a competitor,or subcontract production.The company believes the product will either experience high market demand or low market demand,with probabilities of 0.6 and 0.4,respectively.The following payoff table describes the company's decision situation. A small parts manufacturer has just engineered a new product for the automotive industry.In order to produce the part the company can expand existing facilities,acquire a competitor,or subcontract production.The company believes the product will either experience high market demand or low market demand,with probabilities of 0.6 and 0.4,respectively.The following payoff table describes the company's decision situation.   The best decision according to the expected value criterion is: The best decision according to the expected value criterion is:

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A family business is considering making an investment in its manufacturing operation.Three decisions are under consideration: (1)a large investment; (2)a medium investment;and (3)a small investment.The business believes that there are three possible future outcomes for its product: (1)increasing demand; (2)stable demand;and (3)decreasing demand.The following payoff table describes the decision situation. A family business is considering making an investment in its manufacturing operation.Three decisions are under consideration: (1)a large investment; (2)a medium investment;and (3)a small investment.The business believes that there are three possible future outcomes for its product: (1)increasing demand; (2)stable demand;and (3)decreasing demand.The following payoff table describes the decision situation.   The best decision for the business using the maximin criterion would be to The best decision for the business using the maximin criterion would be to

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Quantitative methods are tools available to operations managers to help make a decision but not a recommendation.

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A family business is considering making an investment in its manufacturing operation.Three decisions are under consideration: (1)a large investment; (2)a medium investment;and (3)a small investment.The business believes that there are three possible future outcomes for its product: (1)increasing demand; (2)stable demand;and (3)decreasing demand.The following payoff table describes the decision situation. A family business is considering making an investment in its manufacturing operation.Three decisions are under consideration: (1)a large investment; (2)a medium investment;and (3)a small investment.The business believes that there are three possible future outcomes for its product: (1)increasing demand; (2)stable demand;and (3)decreasing demand.The following payoff table describes the decision situation.   The best decision for the business using the Hurwicz criterion with a coefficient of optimism equal to 0.80 would be to The best decision for the business using the Hurwicz criterion with a coefficient of optimism equal to 0.80 would be to

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