Exam 27: Modeling with Simulation

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One effective use of simulation is to study problems for which the mathematical models of operations management are not realistic enough.

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Explain how Monte Carlo simulation uses random numbers.

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A(n)________ is a series of digits that have been selected by a totally random process.

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One of the advantages of simulation is that:

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One of the disadvantages of simulation is that it:

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One of the disadvantages of simulation is that it:

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Virtually all large-scale simulations take place on computers,but small simulations can be conducted by hand.

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Identify,in order,the five steps required to implement the Monte Carlo simulation technique.

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Historical records on a certain product indicate the following behavior for demand.The data represent the 288 days that the business was open during 2000.Convert these data into random number intervals.(Round each probability used to 2 decimal places,e.g. ,0.36) Historical records on a certain product indicate the following behavior for demand.The data represent the 288 days that the business was open during 2000.Convert these data into random number intervals.(Round each probability used to 2 decimal places,e.g. ,0.36)

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The ________ method is a simulation technique that uses random elements when chance exists in their behavior.

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Simulation can use any probability distribution that the user defines.

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Which of the following is TRUE regarding simulation?

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Simulation may be capable of producing a more appropriate answer to a complex problem than can be obtained from a mathematical model.

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The idea behind simulation is threefold: (1)to imitate a real-world situation mathematically, (2)then to study its properties and operating characteristics,and (3)finally to draw conclusions and make action decisions based on the results of the simulation.

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Complete the following table in preparation for a Monte Carlo simulation. Complete the following table in preparation for a Monte Carlo simulation.

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Which of the following is NOT a step in running a Monte Carlo simulation?

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From a portion of a probability distribution,you read that P(demand = 0)is 0.05 and P(demand = 1)is 0.10.The cumulative probability for demand = 1 would be which of the following?

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Which of the following are advantages of simulation? I.time compression II."what-if?" questions are possible III.flexibility IV.repetitive approach V.input must be user generated

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What is the cumulative probability of selling 4 tires? What is the cumulative probability of selling 4 tires?

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Julie's Diamond Boutique is very concerned with its order policies related to one-carat diamond solitaires.Their current policy is to order 10 diamonds whenever their inventory reaches 6 diamonds (unless there is already an ordered delivery due).Currently there are 8 diamonds on hand.Orders are placed at the end of the month and take one month to arrive .The following distribution of monthly sales has been developed using historical sales.If Julie's Diamond Boutique does not have a diamond on hand,it will result in a lost sale.Use the following random numbers to determine the number of lost sales of one-carat solitaires at the store over 12 months. Julie's Diamond Boutique is very concerned with its order policies related to one-carat diamond solitaires.Their current policy is to order 10 diamonds whenever their inventory reaches 6 diamonds (unless there is already an ordered delivery due).Currently there are 8 diamonds on hand.Orders are placed at the end of the month and take one month to arrive .The following distribution of monthly sales has been developed using historical sales.If Julie's Diamond Boutique does not have a diamond on hand,it will result in a lost sale.Use the following random numbers to determine the number of lost sales of one-carat solitaires at the store over 12 months.    Random numbers for sales: 10,24,03,32,23,59,95,34,34,51,08,48 Random numbers for sales: 10,24,03,32,23,59,95,34,34,51,08,48

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