Exam 19: Multiple Regression

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Which of the following is used to test the significance of the overall regression equation?

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In testing the validity of a multiple regression model involving 5 independent variables and 30 observations, the numbers of degrees of freedom for the numerator and denominator (respectively) for the critical value of F will be:

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In a multiple regression analysis involving 20 observations and 5 independent variables, total variation in y = SSY = 250 and SSE = 35. The multiple coefficient of determination, adjusted for degrees of freedom, is:

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The multiple coefficient of determination is defined as:

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Pop-up coffee vendors have been popular in the city of Adelaide in 2013. A vendor is interested in knowing how temperature (in degrees Celsius) and number of different pastries and biscuits offered to customers impacts daily hot coffee sales revenue (in $00's). A random sample of 6 days was taken, with the daily hot coffee sales revenue and the corresponding temperature and number of different pastries and biscuits offered on that day, noted. Excel output for a multiple linear regression is given below: Coffee sales revenue Temperature Pastries/biscuits 6.5 25 7 10 17 13 5.5 30 5 4.5 35 6 3.5 40 3 28 9 15  Pop-up coffee vendors have been popular in the city of Adelaide in 2013. A vendor is interested in knowing how temperature (in degrees Celsius) and number of different pastries and biscuits offered to customers impacts daily hot coffee sales revenue (in $00's). A random sample of 6 days was taken, with the daily hot coffee sales revenue and the corresponding temperature and number of different pastries and biscuits offered on that day, noted. Excel output for a multiple linear regression is given below:  \begin{array} { | c | c | r | }  \hline \text { Coffee sales revenue } & \text { Temperature } & \text { Pastries/biscuits } \\ \hline 6.5 & 25 & 7 \\ \hline 10 & 17 & 13 \\ \hline 5.5 & 30 & 5 \\ \hline 4.5 & 35 & 6 \\ \hline 3.5 & 40 & 3 \\ \hline 28 & 9 & 15 \\ \hline \end{array}    Test the significance of the overall regression model, at α of 5%. Test the significance of the overall regression model, at α of 5%.

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A multiple regression model involves 40 observations and 4 independent variables produces SST = 100 000 and SSR = 82,500. The value of MSE is 500.

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In a regression model involving 50 observations, the following estimated regression model was obtained: ŷ = 10.5 + 3.2x1 + 5.8x2 + 6.5x3. For this model, SSR = 450 and SSE = 175. The value of MSE is:

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An actuary wanted to develop a model to predict how long individuals will live. After consulting a number of physicians, she collected the age at death (y), the average number of hours of exercise per week ( x1x _ { 1 } ), the cholesterol level ( x2x _ { 2 } ), and the number of points by which the individual's blood pressure exceeded the recommended value ( X3X _ { 3 } ). A random sample of 40 individuals was selected. The computer output of the multiple regression model is shown below: THE REGRESSION EQUATION IS y=y = 55.8+1.79x10.021x20.016x355.8 + 1.79 x _ { 1 } - 0.021 x _ { 2 } - 0.016 x _ { 3 } Predictor Coef StDev T Constant 55.8 11.8 4.729 1.79 0.44 4.068 -0.021 0.011 -1.909 -0.016 0.014 -1.143 S = 9.47 R-Sq = 22.5%. ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE Source of Variation df SS MS F Regression 3 936 312 3.477 Error 36 3230 89.722 Total 39 4166 Is there enough evidence at the 10% significance level to infer that the model is useful in predicting length of life?

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For the multiple regression model  For the multiple regression model    = 40 + 15 x _ { 1 } - 10 x _ { 2 } + 5 x _ { 3 }  , if  x _ { 2 }  were to increase by 5 units, holding  x _ { 1 }  and  X _ { 3 }  constant, the value of  y  would decrease by 50 units, on average. =40+15x110x2+5x3= 40 + 15 x _ { 1 } - 10 x _ { 2 } + 5 x _ { 3 } , if x2x _ { 2 } were to increase by 5 units, holding x1x _ { 1 } and X3X _ { 3 } constant, the value of yy would decrease by 50 units, on average.

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In a multiple regression model, the error variable ε { \varepsilon } is assumed to have a mean of:

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The problem of multicollinearity arises when the:

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An economist wanted to develop a multiple regression model to enable him to predict the annual family expenditure on clothes. After some consideration, he developed the multiple regression model: y=β0+β1x1+β2x2+β3x3+εy = \beta _ { 0 } + \beta _ { 1 } x _ { 1 } + \beta _ { 2 } x _ { 2 } + \beta _ { 3 } x _ { 3 } + \varepsilon . Where: y = annual family clothes expenditure (in $1000s) x1x _ { 1 } = annual household income (in $1000s) x2x _ { 2 } = number of family members X3X _ { 3 } = number of children under 10 years of age The computer output is shown below. THE REGRESSION EQUATION IS y=1.74+0.091x1+0.93x2+0.26x3y=1.74+0.091 x_{1}+0.93 x_{2}+0.26 x_{3} Predictor Coef StDev Constant 1.74 0.630 2.762 0.091 0.025 3.640 0.93 0.290 3.207 0.26 0.180 1.444 S=2.06RSq=59.6%\mathrm { S } = 2.06 \quad \mathrm { R } - \mathrm { Sq } = 59.6 \% ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE Source of Variation df SS MS Regression 3 288 96 22.647 Error 46 195 4.239 Total 49 483 Interpret the coefficient b2b _ { 2 } .

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A statistics professor investigated some of the factors that affect an individual student's final grade in his or her course. He proposed the multiple regression model: y=β0+β1x1+β2x2+β3x3+εy = \beta _ { 0 } + \beta _ { 1 } x _ { 1 } + \beta _ { 2 } x _ { 2 } + \beta _ { 3 } x _ { 3 } + \varepsilon . Where: y = final mark (out of 100). x1x _ { 1 } = number of lectures skipped. x2x _ { 2 } = number of late assignments. X3X _ { 3 } = mid-term test mark (out of 100). The professor recorded the data for 50 randomly selected students. The computer output is shown below. THE REGRESSION EQUATION IS  A statistics professor investigated some of the factors that affect an individual student's final grade in his or her course. He proposed the multiple regression model:  y = \beta _ { 0 } + \beta _ { 1 } x _ { 1 } + \beta _ { 2 } x _ { 2 } + \beta _ { 3 } x _ { 3 } + \varepsilon  . Where: y = final mark (out of 100).  x _ { 1 }  = number of lectures skipped.  x _ { 2 }  = number of late assignments.  X _ { 3 }  = mid-term test mark (out of 100). The professor recorded the data for 50 randomly selected students. The computer output is shown below. THE REGRESSION EQUATION IS    =  41.6 - 3.18 x _ { 1 } - 1.17 x _ { 2 } + .63 x _ { 3 }   \begin{array} { | c | c c c | }  \hline \text { Predictor } & \text { Coef } & \text { StDev } & \text { T } \\ \hline \text { Constant } & 41.6 & 17.8 & 2.337 \\ x _ { 1 } & - 3.18 & 1.66 & - 1.916 \\ x _ { 2 } & - 1.17 & 1.13 & - 1.035 \\ x _ { 3 } & 0.63 & 0.13 & 4.846 \\ \hline \end{array}  S = 13.74 R-Sq = 30.0%.  \begin{array}{l} \text { ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE }\\ \begin{array} { | l | c c c c | }  \hline \text { Source of Variation } & \text { df } & \text { SS } & \text { MS } & \text { F } \\ \hline \text { Regression } & 3 & 3716 & 1238.667 & 6.558 \\ \text { Error } & 46 & 8688 & 188.870 & \\ \hline \text { Total } & 49 & 12404 & & \\ \hline \end{array} \end{array}  Interpret the coefficients  b _ { 1 }  and  b _ { 3 }  . = 41.63.18x11.17x2+.63x341.6 - 3.18 x _ { 1 } - 1.17 x _ { 2 } + .63 x _ { 3 } Predictor Coef StDev T Constant 41.6 17.8 2.337 -3.18 1.66 -1.916 -1.17 1.13 -1.035 0.63 0.13 4.846 S = 13.74 R-Sq = 30.0%. ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE Source of Variation df SS MS F Regression 3 3716 1238.667 6.558 Error 46 8688 188.870 Total 49 12404 Interpret the coefficients b1b _ { 1 } and b3b _ { 3 } .

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In regression analysis, we judge the magnitude of the standard error of estimate relative to the values of the dependent variable, and particularly to the mean of y.

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A multiple regression model involves 5 independent variables and the sample size is 30. If we want to test the validity of the model at the 5% significance level, the critical value is:

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For the multiple regression model  For the multiple regression model    = 75 + 25 x _ { 1 } - 15 x _ { 2 } + 10 x _ { 3 }  , if  x _ { 2 }  were to increase by 5, holding  x _ { 1 }  and  X _ { 3 }  constant, the value of y would: =75+25x115x2+10x3 = 75 + 25 x _ { 1 } - 15 x _ { 2 } + 10 x _ { 3 } , if x2x _ { 2 } were to increase by 5, holding x1x _ { 1 } and X3X _ { 3 } constant, the value of y would:

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In multiple regression, the standard error of estimate is defined by sε=αnE/(nk)s _ { \varepsilon } = \sqrt { \alpha n E / ( n - k ) } , where n is the sample size and k is the number of independent variables.

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Pop-up coffee vendors have been popular in the city of Adelaide in 2013. A vendor is interested in knowing how temperature (in degrees Celsius) and number of different pastries and biscuits offered to customers impacts daily hot coffee sales revenue (in $00's). A random sample of 6 days was taken, with the daily hot coffee sales revenue and the corresponding temperature and number of different pastries and biscuits offered on that day, noted. Excel output for a multiple linear regression is given below: Coffee sales revenue Temperature Pastries/biscuits 6.5 25 7 10 17 13 5.5 30 5 4.5 35 6 3.5 40 3 28 9 15  Pop-up coffee vendors have been popular in the city of Adelaide in 2013. A vendor is interested in knowing how temperature (in degrees Celsius) and number of different pastries and biscuits offered to customers impacts daily hot coffee sales revenue (in $00's). A random sample of 6 days was taken, with the daily hot coffee sales revenue and the corresponding temperature and number of different pastries and biscuits offered on that day, noted. Excel output for a multiple linear regression is given below:  \begin{array} { | c | c | r | }  \hline \text { Coffee sales revenue } & \text { Temperature } & \text { Pastries/biscuits } \\ \hline 6.5 & 25 & 7 \\ \hline 10 & 17 & 13 \\ \hline 5.5 & 30 & 5 \\ \hline 4.5 & 35 & 6 \\ \hline 3.5 & 40 & 3 \\ \hline 28 & 9 & 15 \\ \hline \end{array}    Interpret the intercept. Does this make sense? Interpret the intercept. Does this make sense?

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An estimated multiple regression model has the form ? = 8 + 3x1 - 5x2 - 4x3. As x1 increases by 1 unit, with x2 and x3 held constant, the value of y, on average, is estimated to:

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Multicollinearity is a situation in which the independent variables are highly correlated with the dependent variable.

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