Exam 27: Simulation

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What are the advantages and disadvantages of simulation models?

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Sam's hardware store has an order policy of ordering 12 gallons of a specific primer whenever 7 gallons are on hand (unless there's already an ordered delivery due).The store would like to see how well their policy works.Assume that beginning inventory in period 1 is 10 gallons and that orders are placed at the end of the week to be received one week later.(In other words,if an order is placed at the end of week one,it is available at the beginning of week 3.)Assume that if inventory is not on hand,it will result in a lost sale.The weekly demand distribution obtained from past sales is found in the table below.Also,use the random numbers that are provided and simulate 10 weeks' worth of sales.How many sales are lost? Sam's hardware store has an order policy of ordering 12 gallons of a specific primer whenever 7 gallons are on hand (unless there's already an ordered delivery due).The store would like to see how well their policy works.Assume that beginning inventory in period 1 is 10 gallons and that orders are placed at the end of the week to be received one week later.(In other words,if an order is placed at the end of week one,it is available at the beginning of week 3.)Assume that if inventory is not on hand,it will result in a lost sale.The weekly demand distribution obtained from past sales is found in the table below.Also,use the random numbers that are provided and simulate 10 weeks' worth of sales.How many sales are lost?    Random numbers for sales: 37,60,79,21,85,71,48,39,31,35 Random numbers for sales: 37,60,79,21,85,71,48,39,31,35

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A simulation model is designed to arrive at a single specific numerical answer to a given problem.

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Which of the following is NOT a disadvantage of simulation?

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Provide a small example illustrating how random numbers are used in Monte Carlo simulation.

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Results of simulation experiments with large numbers of trials or long experimental runs will generally be better than those with fewer trials or shorter experimental runs.

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In most real-world inventory problems,lead time and demand vary in ways that make simulation a necessity because mathematical modeling is extremely difficult.

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Explain how Monte Carlo simulation uses random numbers.

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"Time compression" and the ability to pose "what-if?" questions are elements of:

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From a portion of a probability distribution,you read that P(demand = 0)is 0.25,and P(demand = 1)is 0.30.What are the random number intervals for this distribution beginning with 01?

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One of the advantages of simulation is that:

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Despite the powerful simulation software available today,good simulation models can take a long time to develop.

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________ is the attempt to duplicate the features,appearance,and characteristics of a real system,usually via a computerized model.

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What is the cumulative probability of selling 4 tires? What is the cumulative probability of selling 4 tires?

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Which of the following is TRUE regarding simulation?

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A distribution of service times at a waiting line indicates that service takes 12 minutes 30 percent of the time and 14 minutes 70 percent of the time.This distribution has been prepared for Monte Carlo analysis.The first four random numbers drawn are 07,60,77,and 49.What is the average service time of this simulation?

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By starting random number intervals at 01,not 00,the top of each range is the cumulative probability.

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From a portion of a probability distribution,you read that P(demand = 0)is 0.05,P(demand = 1)is 0.10,and P(demand = 2)is 0.20.What are the two-digit random number intervals for this distribution beginning with 01?

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The ________ method is a simulation technique that uses random elements when chance exists in their behavior.

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The effects of OM policies over many months or years can be obtained by computer simulation in a short time.This phenomenon is referred to as ________.

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