Exam 4: Probability Concepts

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Construct a Venn diagram representing the event ((A&B) or C)( ( A \& B ) \text { or } C )

(Short Answer)
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Draw a Venn diagram and shade the described events. -From a finite sample, events A and B are mutually exclusive. Shade the collection A or B.

(Multiple Choice)
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Suppose that in an election for governor of Oregon there are five candidates of whom two are women. A statistics student reasons as follows. The probability that a woman will win the election is equal to fN\frac { \mathrm { f } } { \mathrm { N } } which is 25\frac { 2 } { 5 } . What is wrong with his reasoning?

(Essay)
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Construct a Venn diagram portraying three events A, B, and C such that A and B are mutually exclusive, B and C are mutually exclusive, but the collection of events A, B, and C is not mutually exclusive.

(Essay)
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An experiment consists of randomly selecting a card from a deck of 52. The event A is defined as follows. A = event the card selected is a diamond Give an example of an event B for this experiment such that the events A and B are mutually exclusive.

(Short Answer)
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Discuss the range of possible values for probabilities. Give examples to support each.

(Essay)
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The age distribution of students at a community college is given below. Age (years) Number of students (f) Under 21 412 21-24 416 25-28 274 29-32 157 33-36 103 37-40 54 Over 40 95 1511 A student from the community college is selected at random. Find the probability that the student is under 37 years old. Give your answer as a decimal rounded to three decimal places.

(Multiple Choice)
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In a certain lottery, 4 numbers between 1 and 11 inclusive are drawn. These are the winning numbers. How many different selections are possible? Assume that the order in which the numbers Are drawn is not important.

(Multiple Choice)
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Consider the following counting problem. A pool of possible jurors consists of 11 men and 13 women. How many different juries consisting of 5 women and 7 men are possible? To solve this problem, which of the following rules would you use?

(Multiple Choice)
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Use counting rules to determine the probability. -8 basketball players are to be selected to play in a special game. The players will be selected from a list of 27 players. If the players are selected randomly, what is the probability that the 8 tallest Players will be selected?

(Multiple Choice)
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Find the conditional probability. -The following contingency table provides a joint frequency distribution for the popular votes cast in the 1984 presidential election by region and political party. Data are in thousands, rounded to the Nearest thousand. Find the conditional probability. -The following contingency table provides a joint frequency distribution for the popular votes cast in the 1984 presidential election by region and political party. Data are in thousands, rounded to the Nearest thousand.   A person who voted in the 1984 presidential election is selected at random. Compute the Probability that the person selected voted Democrat given that they were in the Northeast. A person who voted in the 1984 presidential election is selected at random. Compute the Probability that the person selected voted Democrat given that they were in the Northeast.

(Multiple Choice)
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Use Bayes's rule to find the indicated probability. -Two stores sell a certain product. Store A has 40% of the sales, 3% of which are of defective items, and store B has 60% of the sales, 5% of which are of defective items. The difference in defective Rates is due to different levels of pre-sale checking of the product. A person receives a defective Item of this product as a gift. What is the probability it came from store B?

(Multiple Choice)
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List the outcomes comprising the specified event. -Three board members for a nonprofit organization will be selected from a group of five people. The board members will be selected by drawing names from a hat. The names of the five possible board Members are Allison, Bob, Charlie, Dave, and Emily. The possible outcomes can be represented as Follows. Here, for example, ABC represents the outcome that Allison, Bob, and Charlie are selected to be on the board. The events AA and BB are defined as follows. A=A = event that Dave is selected B=B = event that fewer than two men are selected List the outcomes that comprise the event (A & B).

(Multiple Choice)
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Determine whether the events are independent. -When a coin is tossed three times, eight equally likely outcomes are possible. HHH HHT HTH HTT THH THT TTH TTT Let A=A = event the first two tosses are the same B=B = event the total number of heads is one. Are AA and BB independent events?

(True/False)
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Find the indicated probability by using the special addition rule. -A percentage distribution is given below for the size of families in one U.S. city. Size Percentage 2 49.6 3 24.6 4 13.4 5 7.3 6 3.1 7+ 2.0 A family is selected at random. Find the probability that the size of the family is at most 3. Round approximations to three decimal places.

(Multiple Choice)
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Find the indicated probability by using the general addition rule. -The manager of a bank recorded the amount of time each customer spent waiting in line during peak business hours one Monday. The frequency table below summarizes the results. Waiting Time Number of (minutes) Customers 0-3 10 4-7 15 8-11 15 12-15 8 16-19 7 20-23 2 24-27 2 If we randomly select one of the times represented in the table, what is the probability that it is at Least 12 minutes or between 8 and 15 minutes?

(Multiple Choice)
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Consider the following counting problem. Eight women and seven men are waiting in line at a movie theater. How many ways are there to arrange these 15 people amongst themselves such that The eight women occupy the first eight places and the seven men the last seven places? To solve this problem, which of the following rules would you use?

(Multiple Choice)
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Use counting rules to determine the probability. -Dave puts a collection of 15 books on a bookshelf in a random order. Among the books are 2 fiction and 13 nonfiction books. What is the probability that the 2 fiction books will be all together on the Left side of the shelf and the 13 nonfiction all together on the right side of the shelf?

(Multiple Choice)
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Determine whether the events are independent. -The following contingency table provides a joint probability distribution for a random sample of patients at a hospital classified by blood type and Sex.  Determine whether the events are independent. -The following contingency table provides a joint probability distribution for a random sample of patients at a hospital classified by blood type and Sex.    Suppose one of the patients is selected at random. Are the events  \mathrm { T } _ { 4 }  and  \mathrm { S } _ { 1 }  independent?   Suppose one of the patients is selected at random. Are the events T4\mathrm { T } _ { 4 } and S1\mathrm { S } _ { 1 } independent?

(True/False)
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Describe the specified event in words. -The number of hours needed by sixth grade students to complete a research project was recorded with the following results. Hours Number of students (f) 4 15 5 11 6 19 7 6 8 9 9 16 10 2 A student is selected at random. The event A is defined as follows. A = the event the student took at least 6 hours Describe the event (not A) in words.

(Multiple Choice)
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