Exam 8: Confidence Interval Estimation

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The t-distribution for developing a confidence interval for a mean has degrees of freedom equal to:

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In order to construct a confidence interval estimate of the population mean In order to construct a confidence interval estimate of the population mean   , the value of   must be given. , the value of In order to construct a confidence interval estimate of the population mean   , the value of   must be given. must be given.

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(A) Construct a 90% confidence interval for the total value of all savings account balances within this bank. Assume that the population consists of all savings account balances in the frame. (B) Interpret the 90% confidence interval constructed in (A).

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When the samples we want to compare pair in some natural way, such as a pretest/posttest for each person or husband/wife pairs, a more appropriate form of analysis is to not compare two separate variables, but instead to compare their ____.

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The interval estimate 18.5 The interval estimate 18.5   2.5 is developed for a population mean in which the sample standard deviation s is 7.5. Had s equaled 15 instead, the interval estimate would be 37   5.0. 2.5 is developed for a population mean in which the sample standard deviation s is 7.5. Had s equaled 15 instead, the interval estimate would be 37 The interval estimate 18.5   2.5 is developed for a population mean in which the sample standard deviation s is 7.5. Had s equaled 15 instead, the interval estimate would be 37   5.0. 5.0.

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A company employs two shifts of workers. Each shift produces a type of gasket where the thickness is the critical dimension. The average thickness and the standard deviation of thickness for shift 1, based on a random sample of 40 gaskets, are 10.85 mm and 0.16 mm, respectively. The similar figures for shift 2, based on a random sample of 30 gaskets, are 10.90 mm and 0.19 mm. Let A company employs two shifts of workers. Each shift produces a type of gasket where the thickness is the critical dimension. The average thickness and the standard deviation of thickness for shift 1, based on a random sample of 40 gaskets, are 10.85 mm and 0.16 mm, respectively. The similar figures for shift 2, based on a random sample of 30 gaskets, are 10.90 mm and 0.19 mm. Let   be the difference in thickness between shifts 1 and 2, and assume that the population variances are equal. -(A) Construct a 95% confidence interval for   . (B) Based on your answer to (A), are you convinced that the gaskets from shift 2 are, on average, wider than those from shift 1? Why or why not? be the difference in thickness between shifts 1 and 2, and assume that the population variances are equal. -(A) Construct a 95% confidence interval for A company employs two shifts of workers. Each shift produces a type of gasket where the thickness is the critical dimension. The average thickness and the standard deviation of thickness for shift 1, based on a random sample of 40 gaskets, are 10.85 mm and 0.16 mm, respectively. The similar figures for shift 2, based on a random sample of 30 gaskets, are 10.90 mm and 0.19 mm. Let   be the difference in thickness between shifts 1 and 2, and assume that the population variances are equal. -(A) Construct a 95% confidence interval for   . (B) Based on your answer to (A), are you convinced that the gaskets from shift 2 are, on average, wider than those from shift 1? Why or why not? . (B) Based on your answer to (A), are you convinced that the gaskets from shift 2 are, on average, wider than those from shift 1? Why or why not?

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If two samples contain the same number of observations, then the data must be paired.

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If you decrease the confidence level, the confidence interval:

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After calculating the sample size needed to estimate a population proportion to within 0.05, you have been told that the maximum allowable error (B) must be reduced to just 0.025. If the original calculation led to a sample size of 1000, the sample size will now have to be:

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A 90% confidence interval estimate for a population mean A 90% confidence interval estimate for a population mean   is determined to be 72.8 to 79.6. If the confidence level is reduced to 80%, the confidence interval for   becomes narrower. is determined to be 72.8 to 79.6. If the confidence level is reduced to 80%, the confidence interval for A 90% confidence interval estimate for a population mean   is determined to be 72.8 to 79.6. If the confidence level is reduced to 80%, the confidence interval for   becomes narrower. becomes narrower.

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(A) Determine a 95% confidence interval for the proportion defective for the process today. (B) Based on your answer to (A), is it still reasonable to think the overall proportion defective produced by today's process is actually the targeted 4%? Explain your reasoning. (C) The confidence interval in (A) is based on the assumption of a large sample size. Is this sample size sufficiently large in this example? Explain how you arrived at your answer. (D) How many units would have to be sampled to be 95% confident that you can estimate the fraction of defective parts within 2% (using the information from today's sample)?

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(A) Compute (A) Compute   has a t-distribution with 15 degrees of freedom. (B) Compute   has a t-distribution with 150 degrees of freedom. (C) How do you explain the difference between the results obtained in (A) and (B)? (D) Compute   where Z is a standard normal random variable. (E) Compare the results of (D) to the results obtained in (A) and (B). How do you explain the difference in these probabilities? has a t-distribution with 15 degrees of freedom. (B) Compute (A) Compute   has a t-distribution with 15 degrees of freedom. (B) Compute   has a t-distribution with 150 degrees of freedom. (C) How do you explain the difference between the results obtained in (A) and (B)? (D) Compute   where Z is a standard normal random variable. (E) Compare the results of (D) to the results obtained in (A) and (B). How do you explain the difference in these probabilities? has a t-distribution with 150 degrees of freedom. (C) How do you explain the difference between the results obtained in (A) and (B)? (D) Compute (A) Compute   has a t-distribution with 15 degrees of freedom. (B) Compute   has a t-distribution with 150 degrees of freedom. (C) How do you explain the difference between the results obtained in (A) and (B)? (D) Compute   where Z is a standard normal random variable. (E) Compare the results of (D) to the results obtained in (A) and (B). How do you explain the difference in these probabilities? where Z is a standard normal random variable. (E) Compare the results of (D) to the results obtained in (A) and (B). How do you explain the difference in these probabilities?

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If a random sample of size 250 is taken from a population, where it is known that the population proportion p = 0.4, then the mean of the sampling distribution of the sample proportion If a random sample of size 250 is taken from a population, where it is known that the population proportion p = 0.4, then the mean of the sampling distribution of the sample proportion   is 0.60. is 0.60.

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The following values have been calculated using the T DIST and T INV functions in Excel®. These values come from a t- distribution with 15 degrees of freedom. These values represent the probability to the right of the given positive values. The following values have been calculated using the T DIST and T INV functions in Excel<sup>®</sup>. These values come from a t- distribution with 15 degrees of freedom. These values represent the probability to the right of the given positive values.   These values represent the positive t- value for a given probability in both tails (sum of both tails).   -What is the probability of a t-value smaller than 1.00? These values represent the positive t- value for a given probability in both tails (sum of both tails). The following values have been calculated using the T DIST and T INV functions in Excel<sup>®</sup>. These values come from a t- distribution with 15 degrees of freedom. These values represent the probability to the right of the given positive values.   These values represent the positive t- value for a given probability in both tails (sum of both tails).   -What is the probability of a t-value smaller than 1.00? -What is the probability of a t-value smaller than 1.00?

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From a sample of 500 items, 30 were found to be defective. The point estimate of the population proportion defective will be:

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A market research consultant hired by Coke Classic Company is interested in estimating the difference between the proportions of female and male customers who favor Coke Classic over Pepsi Cola in Chicago. A random sample of 200 consumers from the market under investigation shows the following frequency distribution. A market research consultant hired by Coke Classic Company is interested in estimating the difference between the proportions of female and male customers who favor Coke Classic over Pepsi Cola in Chicago. A random sample of 200 consumers from the market under investigation shows the following frequency distribution.   ​ -(A) Construct a 95% confidence interval for the difference between the proportions of male and female customers who prefer Coke Classic<sup>®</sup> over Pepsi Cola<sup>®</sup>. ​ (B) Interpret the constructed confidence interval. ​ -(A) Construct a 95% confidence interval for the difference between the proportions of male and female customers who prefer Coke Classic® over Pepsi Cola®. ​ (B) Interpret the constructed confidence interval.

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A real estate agent has collected a random sample of 40 houses that were recently sold in Grand Rapids, Michigan. She is interested in comparing the appraised value and recent selling price (in thousands of dollars) of the houses in this particular market. The values of these two variables for each of the 40 randomly selected houses are shown below. A real estate agent has collected a random sample of 40 houses that were recently sold in Grand Rapids, Michigan. She is interested in comparing the appraised value and recent selling price (in thousands of dollars) of the houses in this particular market. The values of these two variables for each of the 40 randomly selected houses are shown below.   -(A) Use the sample data to generate a 95% confidence interval for the mean difference between the appraised values and selling prices of the houses sold in Grand Rapids. (B) Interpret the constructed confidence interval fin (A) for the real estate agent. -(A) Use the sample data to generate a 95% confidence interval for the mean difference between the appraised values and selling prices of the houses sold in Grand Rapids. (B) Interpret the constructed confidence interval fin (A) for the real estate agent.

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What is an example of a problem in which the sample data is likely to be paired?

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The following values have been calculated using the T DIST and T INV functions in Excel®. These values come from a t- distribution with 15 degrees of freedom. These values represent the probability to the right of the given positive values. The following values have been calculated using the T DIST and T INV functions in Excel<sup>®</sup>. These values come from a t- distribution with 15 degrees of freedom. These values represent the probability to the right of the given positive values.   These values represent the positive t- value for a given probability in both tails (sum of both tails).   -What would be the t-values where 0.95 of the values would fall within this interval? These values represent the positive t- value for a given probability in both tails (sum of both tails). The following values have been calculated using the T DIST and T INV functions in Excel<sup>®</sup>. These values come from a t- distribution with 15 degrees of freedom. These values represent the probability to the right of the given positive values.   These values represent the positive t- value for a given probability in both tails (sum of both tails).   -What would be the t-values where 0.95 of the values would fall within this interval? -What would be the t-values where 0.95 of the values would fall within this interval?

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When you calculate the sample size for a proportion, you use an estimate for the population proportion; namely When you calculate the sample size for a proportion, you use an estimate for the population proportion; namely   . A conservative value for n can be obtained by using   = : . A conservative value for n can be obtained by using When you calculate the sample size for a proportion, you use an estimate for the population proportion; namely   . A conservative value for n can be obtained by using   = : = :

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