Exam 13: Additional Topics in Regression Analysis

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Consider the regression model Consider the regression model   = 30 + 15x<sub>1</sub> - 10x<sub>2</sub> + 5x<sub>1</sub>x<sub>2</sub>.A 1-unit increase in x<sub>2</sub>,while holding x<sub>1</sub> constant at 1,changes the value of y,on average,by: = 30 + 15x1 - 10x2 + 5x1x2.A 1-unit increase in x2,while holding x1 constant at 1,changes the value of y,on average,by:

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You are interested in examining the factors that determine the average length of stay by patients in hospitals across states.You collect data on the following variables: Y = statewide average hospital stay X1 = median state income X2 = 1 if the state is in the Northeast,0 otherwise X3 = 1 if the state is in the South,0 otherwise X4 = 1 the state is in the Midwest,0 otherwise X5 = 1 the state is in the West,0 otherwise Based on the data above,you run the following regression: Y = β0 + β1X1 + β2X2 + β3X3 + β4X4. Identify the length of stay for each of the four regions using the population slopes.

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A treatment variable represents a variable whose effect can be estimated with minimum variance.

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The Durbin-Watson statistic d is defined as d = The Durbin-Watson statistic d is defined as d =    ,where e<sub>t</sub> is the residual at time period t. ,where et is the residual at time period t.

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Considering r to be the sample estimate,which of the following is the formula for calculating the Durbin-Watson test statistic,d?

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Describe a formal test for heteroscedasticity.Explain why a test with this design is likely to identify heteroscedasticity.

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During the coefficient estimation stage of the model-building exercise,only the point estimates should be obtained for the multiple regression model.

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THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: You are interested in examining the factors that determine the average length of stay in a hospital across states.You collect data on the following variables: Y = statewide average hospital stay X1 = median state income X2 = 1 if the state is in the Northeast,0 otherwise X3 = 1 if the state is in the South,0 otherwise X4 = 1 if the state is in the Midwest,0 otherwise X5 = 1 if the state is in the West,0 otherwise -You run the following regression Y = β0 + β1X1 + β2X2 + β3X3 + β5X5.How much longer would we expect to stay in a hospital in the Northeast than in a hospital in the Midwest?

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THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: Consider the following model: Y = β0 + β1X1t + β2X2t + γ3Yt-1.Using a sample of 36 months,we estimate this model and obtain the following results: yt = 1.33 + 17.6x1t + 0.94x2t + 0.39Yt-1 -If X1 were to increase by 1-unit in time t,by how much would we expect Y to change in period (t + 1)?

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THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: Suppose that a regression was run with two independent variables and 25 observations.The Durbin-Watson statistic was 2.28. -Test the hypothesis that there was no autocorrelation versus the alternative of negative autocorrelation in errors.

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Experimental design methods are used extensively in the study of human behavior.

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Which of the following is true of the error term used in linear regression?

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THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: An economist is in the process of developing a model to predict the price of gold.She believes that the two most important variables are the price of a barrel of oil (x1)and the interest rate (x2).She proposes the model y = β0 + β1x1 + β2x2 + β3x1x3 + ε.A random sample of 20 daily observations was taken.The computer output is shown below. THE REGRESSION EQUATION IS y = 115.6 + 22.3x1 + 14.7x2 - 1.36x1x2 THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: An economist is in the process of developing a model to predict the price of gold.She believes that the two most important variables are the price of a barrel of oil (x<sub>1</sub>)and the interest rate (x<sub>2</sub>).She proposes the model y = β<sub>0</sub> + β<sub>1</sub>x<sub>1</sub> + β<sub>2</sub>x<sub>2</sub> + β<sub>3</sub>x<sub>1</sub>x<sub>3</sub> + ε.A random sample of 20 daily observations was taken.The computer output is shown below. THE REGRESSION EQUATION IS y = 115.6 + 22.3x<sub>1</sub> + 14.7x<sub>2</sub> - 1.36x<sub>1</sub>x<sub>2</sub>     S = 20.9 R-Sq = 55.4% ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE    -An economist estimates the regression model y<sub>i</sub>= β<sub>0</sub> + β<sub>1</sub>x<sub>1</sub><sub>i</sub><sub> </sub>+ β<sub>2</sub>x<sub>2</sub><sub>i</sub> + ε<sub>i</sub>.The estimates of the parameters β<sub>1</sub> and β<sub>2</sub> are not very large compared with their respective standard errors.But the size of the coefficient of determination indicates quite a strong relationship between the dependent variable and the pair of independent variables.Having obtained these results,the economist strongly suspects the presence of multicollinearity.Since his chief interest is in the influence of X<sub>1</sub> on the dependent variable,he decides that he will avoid the problem of multicollinearity by regressing Y on X<sub>1</sub> alone.Comment on this strategy. S = 20.9 R-Sq = 55.4% ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: An economist is in the process of developing a model to predict the price of gold.She believes that the two most important variables are the price of a barrel of oil (x<sub>1</sub>)and the interest rate (x<sub>2</sub>).She proposes the model y = β<sub>0</sub> + β<sub>1</sub>x<sub>1</sub> + β<sub>2</sub>x<sub>2</sub> + β<sub>3</sub>x<sub>1</sub>x<sub>3</sub> + ε.A random sample of 20 daily observations was taken.The computer output is shown below. THE REGRESSION EQUATION IS y = 115.6 + 22.3x<sub>1</sub> + 14.7x<sub>2</sub> - 1.36x<sub>1</sub>x<sub>2</sub>     S = 20.9 R-Sq = 55.4% ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE    -An economist estimates the regression model y<sub>i</sub>= β<sub>0</sub> + β<sub>1</sub>x<sub>1</sub><sub>i</sub><sub> </sub>+ β<sub>2</sub>x<sub>2</sub><sub>i</sub> + ε<sub>i</sub>.The estimates of the parameters β<sub>1</sub> and β<sub>2</sub> are not very large compared with their respective standard errors.But the size of the coefficient of determination indicates quite a strong relationship between the dependent variable and the pair of independent variables.Having obtained these results,the economist strongly suspects the presence of multicollinearity.Since his chief interest is in the influence of X<sub>1</sub> on the dependent variable,he decides that he will avoid the problem of multicollinearity by regressing Y on X<sub>1</sub> alone.Comment on this strategy. -An economist estimates the regression model yi= β0 + β1x1i + β2x2i + εi.The estimates of the parameters β1 and β2 are not very large compared with their respective standard errors.But the size of the coefficient of determination indicates quite a strong relationship between the dependent variable and the pair of independent variables.Having obtained these results,the economist strongly suspects the presence of multicollinearity.Since his chief interest is in the influence of X1 on the dependent variable,he decides that he will avoid the problem of multicollinearity by regressing Y on X1 alone.Comment on this strategy.

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When significant predictor variables are omitted from a multiple regression model,the least squares estimates of coefficients included in the model are usually biased.

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The value of the dependent variable in an earlier time period is called a lagged dependent variable.

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From a statistical perspective,the regression model objectives can be divided into either a prediction of the mean of the dependent variable,or an estimation of one or more of the individual coefficients.

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Dummy variables can be used to analyze data from experimental situations,which are defined by multiple-level categorical variables.

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THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: You are interested in examining the factors that determine the average length of stay in a hospital across states.You collect data on the following variables: Y = statewide average hospital stay X1 = median state income X2 = 1 if the state is in the Northeast,0 otherwise X3 = 1 if the state is in the South,0 otherwise X4 = 1 if the state is in the Midwest,0 otherwise X5 = 1 if the state is in the West,0 otherwise -You run the following regression: Y = β0 + β1X1 + β2X2 + β3X3 + β5X5.What effect does being a state in the Northeast have on the average length of hospital stay?

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After running the regression Y = β0 + β1X1 + β2X2 + β3X3 + β4X4,and examining a plot of the residuals,you have reason to suspect that there is heteroscedasticity in your model.Assume that the heteroscedasticity is directly proportional to the square of the expected value of the dependent variable.How might you estimate your model correcting for this heteroscedasticity?

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Models in which the error terms do not all have the same variance are said to exhibit:

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