Exam 13: Additional Topics in Regression Analysis

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THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: A regression analysis involving 25 observations and four independent variables revealed that the total variation in the dependent variable y is 1600 and that the mean square for error is 20. -Test the validity of the model at the 1% significance level.

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For the following regression equation For the following regression equation   = 100 - 12x<sub>1</sub> + 5x<sub>2</sub> - 4x<sub>1</sub>x<sub>2</sub>,a unit increase in x<sub>1</sub>,while holding x<sub>2</sub><sub> </sub>constant at a value of 2,decreases the value of y on average by: = 100 - 12x1 + 5x2 - 4x1x2,a unit increase in x1,while holding x2 constant at a value of 2,decreases the value of y on average by:

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The range of the values of the Durbin-Watson statistic d is 0 ≤ d ≤ 4.

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Suppose the following scatter plot shows the relationship between X and Y.How might you model Y? Suppose the following scatter plot shows the relationship between X and Y.How might you model Y?

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Suppose you want to estimate the model Y = β0 + β1X1 + β2X2 + β3X3 + β4X4.However,you cannot measure X4,so you estimate Y = β0 + β1X1 + β2X2 + β3X3 instead.This is an example of regression result that will be subject to:

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Correlations between first-order errors through time are defined as:

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THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: An economist is in the process of developing a model to predict the price of gold.She believes that the two most important variables are the price of a barrel of oil (x1)and the interest rate (x2).She proposes the model y = β0 + β1x1 + β2x2 + β3x1x3 + ε.A random sample of 20 daily observations was taken.The computer output is shown below. THE REGRESSION EQUATION IS y = 115.6 + 22.3x1 + 14.7x2 - 1.36x1x2 THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: An economist is in the process of developing a model to predict the price of gold.She believes that the two most important variables are the price of a barrel of oil (x<sub>1</sub>)and the interest rate (x<sub>2</sub>).She proposes the model y = β<sub>0</sub> + β<sub>1</sub>x<sub>1</sub> + β<sub>2</sub>x<sub>2</sub> + β<sub>3</sub>x<sub>1</sub>x<sub>3</sub> + ε.A random sample of 20 daily observations was taken.The computer output is shown below. THE REGRESSION EQUATION IS y = 115.6 + 22.3x<sub>1</sub> + 14.7x<sub>2</sub> - 1.36x<sub>1</sub>x<sub>2</sub>     S = 20.9 R-Sq = 55.4% ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE    -Is there sufficient evidence at the 1% significance level to conclude that the interaction term should be retained? S = 20.9 R-Sq = 55.4% ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: An economist is in the process of developing a model to predict the price of gold.She believes that the two most important variables are the price of a barrel of oil (x<sub>1</sub>)and the interest rate (x<sub>2</sub>).She proposes the model y = β<sub>0</sub> + β<sub>1</sub>x<sub>1</sub> + β<sub>2</sub>x<sub>2</sub> + β<sub>3</sub>x<sub>1</sub>x<sub>3</sub> + ε.A random sample of 20 daily observations was taken.The computer output is shown below. THE REGRESSION EQUATION IS y = 115.6 + 22.3x<sub>1</sub> + 14.7x<sub>2</sub> - 1.36x<sub>1</sub>x<sub>2</sub>     S = 20.9 R-Sq = 55.4% ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE    -Is there sufficient evidence at the 1% significance level to conclude that the interaction term should be retained? -Is there sufficient evidence at the 1% significance level to conclude that the interaction term should be retained?

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Which of the following will lead to the least squares estimates being biased?

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Three predictor variables are being considered for use in a linear regression model.Given the correlation matrix below,does it appear that multicollinearity could be a problem? Three predictor variables are being considered for use in a linear regression model.Given the correlation matrix below,does it appear that multicollinearity could be a problem?

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THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: An economist is in the process of developing a model to predict the price of gold.She believes that the two most important variables are the price of a barrel of oil (x1)and the interest rate (x2).She proposes the model y = β0 + β1x1 + β2x2 + β3x1x3 + ε.A random sample of 20 daily observations was taken.The computer output is shown below. THE REGRESSION EQUATION IS y = 115.6 + 22.3x1 + 14.7x2 - 1.36x1x2 THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: An economist is in the process of developing a model to predict the price of gold.She believes that the two most important variables are the price of a barrel of oil (x<sub>1</sub>)and the interest rate (x<sub>2</sub>).She proposes the model y = β<sub>0</sub> + β<sub>1</sub>x<sub>1</sub> + β<sub>2</sub>x<sub>2</sub> + β<sub>3</sub>x<sub>1</sub>x<sub>3</sub> + ε.A random sample of 20 daily observations was taken.The computer output is shown below. THE REGRESSION EQUATION IS y = 115.6 + 22.3x<sub>1</sub> + 14.7x<sub>2</sub> - 1.36x<sub>1</sub>x<sub>2</sub>     S = 20.9 R-Sq = 55.4% ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE    -Is there sufficient evidence at the 1% significance level to conclude that the interest rate and the price of gold are linearly related? S = 20.9 R-Sq = 55.4% ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: An economist is in the process of developing a model to predict the price of gold.She believes that the two most important variables are the price of a barrel of oil (x<sub>1</sub>)and the interest rate (x<sub>2</sub>).She proposes the model y = β<sub>0</sub> + β<sub>1</sub>x<sub>1</sub> + β<sub>2</sub>x<sub>2</sub> + β<sub>3</sub>x<sub>1</sub>x<sub>3</sub> + ε.A random sample of 20 daily observations was taken.The computer output is shown below. THE REGRESSION EQUATION IS y = 115.6 + 22.3x<sub>1</sub> + 14.7x<sub>2</sub> - 1.36x<sub>1</sub>x<sub>2</sub>     S = 20.9 R-Sq = 55.4% ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE    -Is there sufficient evidence at the 1% significance level to conclude that the interest rate and the price of gold are linearly related? -Is there sufficient evidence at the 1% significance level to conclude that the interest rate and the price of gold are linearly related?

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Suppose you are interested in estimating the regression: Y = β0 + β1X1 + β2X2 + β3X3.Using a sample of 40 observations,we get y = 13.2 + 18.4x1 + 0.033x2 + 1732.4x3,R2 = 0.88,s Suppose you are interested in estimating the regression: Y = β<sub>0</sub> + β<sub>1</sub>X<sub>1</sub> + β<sub>2</sub>X<sub>2</sub> + β<sub>3</sub>X<sub>3</sub>.Using a sample of 40 observations,we get y = 13.2 + 18.4x<sub>1</sub> + 0.033x<sub>2</sub> + 1732.4x<sub>3</sub>,R<sup>2</sup> = 0.88,s   = 6)3,s   = 15.2,s   = )0025,and s   = 1443.2.These results suggest that this model is affected by: = 6)3,s Suppose you are interested in estimating the regression: Y = β<sub>0</sub> + β<sub>1</sub>X<sub>1</sub> + β<sub>2</sub>X<sub>2</sub> + β<sub>3</sub>X<sub>3</sub>.Using a sample of 40 observations,we get y = 13.2 + 18.4x<sub>1</sub> + 0.033x<sub>2</sub> + 1732.4x<sub>3</sub>,R<sup>2</sup> = 0.88,s   = 6)3,s   = 15.2,s   = )0025,and s   = 1443.2.These results suggest that this model is affected by: = 15.2,s Suppose you are interested in estimating the regression: Y = β<sub>0</sub> + β<sub>1</sub>X<sub>1</sub> + β<sub>2</sub>X<sub>2</sub> + β<sub>3</sub>X<sub>3</sub>.Using a sample of 40 observations,we get y = 13.2 + 18.4x<sub>1</sub> + 0.033x<sub>2</sub> + 1732.4x<sub>3</sub>,R<sup>2</sup> = 0.88,s   = 6)3,s   = 15.2,s   = )0025,and s   = 1443.2.These results suggest that this model is affected by: = )0025,and s Suppose you are interested in estimating the regression: Y = β<sub>0</sub> + β<sub>1</sub>X<sub>1</sub> + β<sub>2</sub>X<sub>2</sub> + β<sub>3</sub>X<sub>3</sub>.Using a sample of 40 observations,we get y = 13.2 + 18.4x<sub>1</sub> + 0.033x<sub>2</sub> + 1732.4x<sub>3</sub>,R<sup>2</sup> = 0.88,s   = 6)3,s   = 15.2,s   = )0025,and s   = 1443.2.These results suggest that this model is affected by: = 1443.2.These results suggest that this model is affected by:

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The model yt = 8 + 2.5xt + 0.35yt-1 is estimated using regression analysis applied to time-series data.What is the effect of a 1-unit increase in x in period t?

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Explain what is meant by specification bias.What effects does specification bias have on the results of a regression?

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Failure to include the proper set of predictor variables can lead to coefficient bias and incorrect coefficient signs.

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Write the model specification and define the variables for a multiple regression model to predict college GPA as a function of entering SAT scores and the year in college: freshman,sophomore,junior,and senior.

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THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: Consider the following model: Y = β0 + β1X1t + β2X2t + γYt-1.Suppose we increase X1 by one unit in time period t,with all other independent variables in the model held fixed. -What is the expected increase in the dependent variable in time period (t + 1)?

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THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: An economist is in the process of developing a model to predict the price of gold.She believes that the two most important variables are the price of a barrel of oil (x1)and the interest rate (x2).She proposes the model y = β0 + β1x1 + β2x2 + β3x1x3 + ε.A random sample of 20 daily observations was taken.The computer output is shown below. THE REGRESSION EQUATION IS y = 115.6 + 22.3x1 + 14.7x2 - 1.36x1x2 THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: An economist is in the process of developing a model to predict the price of gold.She believes that the two most important variables are the price of a barrel of oil (x<sub>1</sub>)and the interest rate (x<sub>2</sub>).She proposes the model y = β<sub>0</sub> + β<sub>1</sub>x<sub>1</sub> + β<sub>2</sub>x<sub>2</sub> + β<sub>3</sub>x<sub>1</sub>x<sub>3</sub> + ε.A random sample of 20 daily observations was taken.The computer output is shown below. THE REGRESSION EQUATION IS y = 115.6 + 22.3x<sub>1</sub> + 14.7x<sub>2</sub> - 1.36x<sub>1</sub>x<sub>2</sub>     S = 20.9 R-Sq = 55.4% ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE    -Is there sufficient evidence at the 1% significance level to conclude that the price of a barrel of oil and the price of gold are linearly related? S = 20.9 R-Sq = 55.4% ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION: An economist is in the process of developing a model to predict the price of gold.She believes that the two most important variables are the price of a barrel of oil (x<sub>1</sub>)and the interest rate (x<sub>2</sub>).She proposes the model y = β<sub>0</sub> + β<sub>1</sub>x<sub>1</sub> + β<sub>2</sub>x<sub>2</sub> + β<sub>3</sub>x<sub>1</sub>x<sub>3</sub> + ε.A random sample of 20 daily observations was taken.The computer output is shown below. THE REGRESSION EQUATION IS y = 115.6 + 22.3x<sub>1</sub> + 14.7x<sub>2</sub> - 1.36x<sub>1</sub>x<sub>2</sub>     S = 20.9 R-Sq = 55.4% ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE    -Is there sufficient evidence at the 1% significance level to conclude that the price of a barrel of oil and the price of gold are linearly related? -Is there sufficient evidence at the 1% significance level to conclude that the price of a barrel of oil and the price of gold are linearly related?

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In multiple regression analysis,when the independent variables are highly correlated,this situation is called:

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If redundant predictor variables are correlated with other predictor variables,the variance of the coefficient estimates for the important variables will be decreased.

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If there is a positive correlation between the error terms from adjacent time-series observations,then the least squares estimate of the coefficient standard error is large.

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