Exam 10: Regression With Panel Data
Exam 1: Economic Questions and Data17 Questions
Exam 2: Review of Probability71 Questions
Exam 3: Review of Statistics63 Questions
Exam 4: Linear Regression With One Regressor65 Questions
Exam 5: Regression With a Single Regressor: Hypothesis Tests and Confidence Intervals59 Questions
Exam 6: Linear Regression With Multiple Regressors65 Questions
Exam 7: Hypothesis Tests and Confidence Intervals in Multiple Regression65 Questions
Exam 8: Nonlinear Regression Functions62 Questions
Exam 9: Assessing Studies Based on Multiple Regression65 Questions
Exam 10: Regression With Panel Data50 Questions
Exam 11: Regression With a Binary Dependent Variable50 Questions
Exam 12: Instrumental Variables Regression50 Questions
Exam 13: Experiments and Quasi-Experiments50 Questions
Exam 14: Introduction to Time Series Regression and Forecasting50 Questions
Exam 15: Estimation of Dynamic Causal Effects50 Questions
Exam 16: Additional Topics in Time Series Regression50 Questions
Exam 17: The Theory of Linear Regression With One Regressor49 Questions
Exam 18: The Theory of Multiple Regression50 Questions
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In the Fixed Time Effects regression model,you should exclude one of the binary variables for the time periods when an intercept is present in the equation
(Multiple Choice)
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Consider the following panel data regression with a single explanatory variable
Yit = β0 + β1Xit + uit.
In each of the examples below,you will be adding entity and time fixed effects.Indicate the total number of coefficients that need to be estimated.
(a)The effect of beer taxes on the fatality rate,annual data,1982-1988,nine U.S.regions (New England,Pacific,Mid-Atlantic,East North Central,etc. ).
(b)The effect of the minimum wage on teenage employment,annual data,1963-2000,five Canadian Regions (Atlantic Provinces,Quebec,Ontario,Prairies,British Columbia).
(c)The effect of savings rates on per capita income,data for three decades (1960-1969,1970-1979,1980-1989;one observation per decade),104 countries of the world.
(d)The effect of pitching quality in baseball (as measured by the Team ERA)on the winning percentage,annual data,1998-1999 season,1999-2000 season,30 teams.
(Essay)
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You want to find the determinants of suicide rates in the United States.To investigate the issue,you collect state level data for ten years.Your first idea,suggested to you by one of your peers from Southern California,is that the annual amount of sunshine must be important.Stacking the data and using no fixed effects,you find no significant relationship between suicide rates and this variable.(This is good news for the people of Seattle. )However,sorting the suicide rate data from highest to lowest,you notice that those states with the lowest population density are dominating in the highest suicide rate category.You run another regression,without fixed effect,and find a highly significant relationship between the two variables.Even adding some economic variables,such as state per capita income or the state unemployment rate,does not lower the t-statistic for the population density by much.Adding fixed entity and time effects,however,results in an insignificant coefficient for population density.
(a)What do you think is the cause for this change in significance? Which fixed effect is primarily responsible? Does this result imply that population density does not matter?
(b)Speculate as to what happens to the coefficients of the economic variables when the fixed effects are included.Use this example to make clear what factors entity and time fixed effects pick up.
(c)What other factors might play a role?
(Essay)
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Assume that for the T = 2 time periods case,you have estimated a simple regression in changes model and found a statistically significant positive intercept.This implies
(Multiple Choice)
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Consider the regression example from your textbook,which estimates the effect of beer taxes on fatality rates across the 48 contiguous U.S.states.If beer taxes were set nationally by the federal government rather than by the states,then
(Multiple Choice)
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Consider the time and entity fixed effect model with a single explanatory variable
Yit = β0 + β1Xit +
D2i + ...+
Dni + δ2B2t + ...+ δTBTt + uit,
Assume that you had estimated the above equation by OLS.Typically the coefficients for the entity and time binary variables are not reported.Can you think of situations where the pattern of these coefficients might be of interest? What could you do,for example,if you had a strong theoretical justification for believing that a few macroeconomic variables had an effect on Yit?


(Essay)
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A study,published in 1993,used U.S.state panel data to investigate the relationship between minimum wages and employment of teenagers.The sample period was 1977 to 1989 for all 50 states.The author estimated a model of the following type:
where E is the employment to population ratio of teenagers,M is the nominal minimum wage,and W is average hourly earnings in manufacturing.In addition,other explanatory variables,such as the adult unemployment rate,the teenage population share,and the teenage enrollment rate in school,were included.
(a)Name some of the factors that might be picked up by time and state fixed effects.
(b)The author decided to use eight regional dummy variables instead of the 49 state dummy variables.What is the implicit assumption made by the author? Could you test for its validity? How?
(c)The results,using time and region fixed effects only,were as follows:
= -0.182 × ln(Mit /Wit )+ ... ;R2= 0.727
(0.036)
Interpret the result briefly.
(d)State minimum wages do not exceed federal minimum wages often.As a result,the author decided to choose the federal minimum wage in his specification above.How does this change your interpretation? How is the original equation
affected by this?



(Essay)
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Consider a panel regression of unemployment rates for the G7 countries (United States,Canada,France,Germany,Italy,United Kingdom,Japan)on a set of explanatory variables for the time period 1980-2000 (annual data).If you included entity and time fixed effects,you would need to specify the following number of binary variables:
(Multiple Choice)
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(Requires Matrix Algebra)Consider the time and entity fixed effect model with a single explanatory variable
Yit = β0 + β1Xit +
D2i + ...+
Dni + δ2B2t + ...+ δTBTt + uit,
For the case of n = 4 and T = 3,write this model in the form Y = Xβ + U,where,in general,
Y =
,U =
,X =
=
,and β =
How would the X matrix change if you added two binary variables,D1 and B1? Demonstrate that in this case the columns of the X matrix are not independent.Finally show that elimination of one of the two variables is not sufficient to get rid of the multicollinearity problem.In terms of the OLS estimator,
= (
X)-1
Y,why does perfect multicollinearity create a problem?










(Essay)
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In Sports Economics,production functions are often estimated by relating the winning percentage of teams (Y)to inputs indicating performance in certain aspects of the game.However,this omits the quality of management.Assume that you could measure the quality of pitching and hitting by a single index L,and that managerial ability is represented by M,which is assumed to be constant over time.The production function would then be specified as follows:
Yit = β0 +β1 Lit + β2Mi + uit
where i is an index for the baseball team,and t indexes time and all variables are in logs.
(a)Assume that managerial ability is unobservable but is positively related,in a linear way,to L.Explain why the OLS estimator
1 is inconsistent in the case of a single cross-section,i.e. ,if you attempt to estimate the above regression for a single year.Do you expect this coefficient to over- or under-estimate β1?
(b)If you had data for two years,indicate the transformation,which allows you to obtain a consistent estimator for β1.

(Essay)
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You want to study the relationship between weight and height of young children (4th grade to 7th grade).You collect data for more than 400 students and track the progress of these students over the following four years,where you end up with a balanced panel of 400 students (you discard the observations for the students who moved away).Discuss some of the entity fixed effects which you potentially capture by allowing for a binary variable for each of the students.Do you expect significant time fixed effects if you allowed for them?
(Essay)
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The difference between an unbalanced and a balanced panel is that
(Multiple Choice)
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Consider the case of time fixed effects only,i.e. ,
Yit = β0 + β1Xit + β3St + uit,
First replace β0 + β3St with φt.Next show the relationship between the φt and δt in the following equation
Yit = β0 + β1Xit + δ2B2t + ...+ δTBTt + uit,
where each of the binary variables B2,…,BT indicates a different time period.Explain in words why the two equations are the same.Finally show why there is perfect multicollinearity if you add another binary variable B1.What is the intuition behind the fact that the OLS estimator does not exist in this case? Would that also be the case if you dropped the intercept?
(Essay)
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If Xit is correlated with Xis for different values of s and t,then
(Multiple Choice)
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You want to investigate the relationship between cumulative GPA scores at graduation and incoming SAT scores of students.For this purpose,you have collected data from a balanced panel of 120 undergraduate colleges and universities in the United States over a ten year period.Discuss some of the entity fixed effects which you potentially capture by allowing for a binary variable for each of the colleges.
(Essay)
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Time Fixed Effects regression are useful in dealing with omitted variables
(Multiple Choice)
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A pattern in the coefficients of the time fixed effects binary variables may reveal the following in a study of the determinants of state unemployment rates using panel data:
(Multiple Choice)
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Two authors published a study in 1992 of the effect of minimum wages on teenage employment using a U.S.state panel.The paper used annual observations for the years 1977-1989 and included all 50 states plus the District of Columbia.The estimated equation is of the following type
(Eit )= β0 + β1 (Mit /Wit )+
D2i + ...+
D51i +
B2t + ...+
B13t + uit,
where E is the employment to population ratio of teenagers,M is the nominal minimum wage,and W is average wage in the state.In addition,other explanatory variables,such as the prime-age male unemployment rate,and the teenage population share were included.
(a)Briefly discuss the advantage of using panel data in this situation rather than pure cross sections or time series.
(b)Estimating the model by OLS but including only time fixed effects results in the following output
it =
0 - 0.33 × (Mit /Wit )+ 0.35(SHYit)- 1.53 × uramit;R2 = 0.20
(0.08)(0.28)(0.13)
where SHY is the proportion of teenagers in the population,and uram is the prime-age male unemployment rate.Coefficients for the time fixed effects are not reported.Numbers in parenthesis are homoskedasticity-only standard errors.
Comment on the above results.Are the coefficients statistically significant? Since these are level regressions,how would you calculate elasticities?
(c)Adding state fixed effects changed the above equation as follows:
it =
0 + 0.07 × (Mit /Wit )- 0.19 × (SHYit)- 0.54 × uramit;
2 = 0.69
(0.10)(0.22)(0.11)
Compare the two results.Why would the inclusion of state fixed effects change the coefficients in this way?
(d)The significance of each coefficient decreased,yet
2 increased.How is that possible? What does this result tell you about testing the hypothesis that all of the state fixed effects can be restricted to have the same coefficient? How would you test for such a hypothesis?










(Essay)
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Consider the special panel case where T = 2.If some of the omitted variables,which you hope to capture in the changes analysis,in fact change over time,then the estimator on the included change regressor
(Multiple Choice)
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