Exam 12: Time Series Analysis and Forecasting

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Use the method of moving average with an appropriate span to forecast retail sales for 2010. Do you obtain a good fit? Do you have confidence in your forecast? Explain your answers.

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The most common form of autocorrelation is positive autocorrelation, in which:

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Examples of non-random patterns that may be evident on a time series graph include:

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Which of the following is not one of the commonly used summary measures for forecast errors?

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The seasonal component of a time series is more likely to exhibit the relatively steady growth of a variable, such as the population of Egypt from 35 million in 1960 to 93 million in 2016.

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Suppose that a simple exponential smoothing model is used (with a = 0.30) to forecast monthly sandwich sales at a local sandwich shop. After June's demand is observed at 1520 sandwiches, the forecasted demand for July is 1600 sandwiches. At the beginning of July, what would be the forecasted demand for August?

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