Exam 4: Probability and Probability Distributions

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There are two types of random variables: discrete and continuous.

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Combinations are distinguishable ordered arrangements of items all of which have been drawn from a given group of items.

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The probability distribution of the number of accidents in Grand Rapids, Michigan, each day is given by The probability distribution of the number of accidents in Grand Rapids, Michigan, each day is given by   Based on this distribution, the expected number of accidents in a given day is: Based on this distribution, the expected number of accidents in a given day is:

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If P(A) = 0.30, P(B) = 0.40 and P(A If P(A) = 0.30, P(B) = 0.40 and P(A   B) = 0.20, then P(A / B) is: B) = 0.20, then P(A / B) is:

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Bayes' Rule is a formula for revising an initial subjective (prior) probability value on the basis of results obtained by an empirical investigation and for, thus, obtaining a new (posterior) probability value.

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The probability distribution for a discrete variable x is a formula, a table, or a graph providing p(x), the probability associated with each of the values of x.

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The sample space for an experiment can be represented by:

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The weight of a box of candy bars is an example of a discrete random variable since there are only a specific number of bars in the box.

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Which of following statements is true regarding the probability distribution for a discrete random variable X?

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All the outcomes contained in one or the other of two events (or possibly in both) constitute the union of two events.

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If P(A) = 0.60, P(B) = 0.40, and P(B / A) = 0.60, then P(A / B) = 0.24.

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A federal agency is trying to decide which of two waste management projects to investigate as the source of air pollution. In the past, projects of the first type were in violation of air quality standards with probability 0.3 on any given day, while projects of the second type were in violation of air quality standards with probability 0.25 on any given day. It is not possible for both projects to pollute the air in one day. Let Ai, i = 1, 2, denote that project of type i was in violation of air quality standards. a. Find the probability of an air pollution problem caused by either the first project or the second project. ______________ b. If the first project is violating air quality standards, what is the probability the second project is also violating federal air quality standards? ______________

(Short Answer)
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A table, graph, or formula that associates each possible value of a discrete random variable, x with its probability of occurrence, p(x), is called a discrete probability distribution.

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If P(A) = 0.3, P(A If P(A) = 0.3, P(A   B) = 0.7, and P(A   B) = 0.2, then P(B) = 0.2. B) = 0.7, and P(A If P(A) = 0.3, P(A   B) = 0.7, and P(A   B) = 0.2, then P(B) = 0.2. B) = 0.2, then P(B) = 0.2.

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An election is being held to fill two "at large" city council seats. Two Republicans and three Democrats are running for office. Assume the candidates are equally likely to be elected, and independent of each other. a. What are the possible outcomes of the election? ______________ b. What is the probability both seats are filled by Republicans? ______________ c. What is the probability one Republican and one Democrat are elected to the two city council seats? ______________

(Short Answer)
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When a patient who is complaining of several specific symptoms arrives at a doctor's office, the doctor who makes the diagnosis says that she is 90% certain that the patient has the flu, it is likely that she is basing her assessment on relative frequency approach of assigning probabilities.

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A tree diagram is a listing of all simple events of an experiment.

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Let the random variable x represent the number of cars owned by a family. Assume that x can take on five values: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4. A partial probability distribution is shown below: Let the random variable x represent the number of cars owned by a family. Assume that x can take on five values: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4. A partial probability distribution is shown below:     a. Find the probability that a family owns three cars. ______________ b. Find the probability that a family owns between 1 and 3 cars, inclusive. ______________ c. Find the probability that a family owns no more than one car. ______________ d. What is the probability that a family owns more than two cars? ______________ e. What is the probability that a family owns at most 3 cars? ______________ a. Find the probability that a family owns three cars. ______________ b. Find the probability that a family owns between 1 and 3 cars, inclusive. ______________ c. Find the probability that a family owns no more than one car. ______________ d. What is the probability that a family owns more than two cars? ______________ e. What is the probability that a family owns at most 3 cars? ______________

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Which of the following clearly describes the general multiplicative rule of probability?

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From experience, a shipping company knows that the cost of delivering a small package within 24 hours is $16.20. The company charges $16.95 for shipment but guarantees to refund the charge if delivery is not made within 24 hours. If the company fails to deliver only 3% of its packages within the 24-hour period, what is the expected gain per package? ______________

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